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Eliteserien
Referee: Kristoffer Hagenes
Stabaek
T U U S T
2–1
Full-time
Stromsgodset
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stabaek Stromsgodset
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,5
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,2
This season — Eliteserien · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 24%
26%
21%
Points per game
1,1
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
42%
63%
Both score Ø 50%
42%
58%
Average goals
2,4
3,1
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
15 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stabaek 12. · Stromsgodset 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 20 13 3 4 +16 42
2 Molde 19 12 4 3 +24 40
3 Odd 20 11 5 4 +8 38
4 Rosenborg 19 9 5 5 +6 32
5 Brann 19 8 5 6 +4 29
6 Valerenga 19 7 5 7 +4 26
7 Kristiansund 19 7 5 7 +3 26
8 Viking 19 7 5 7 -1 26
9 Lillestrom 19 7 4 8 -4 25
10 Haugesund 19 6 6 7 +4 24
11 Tromso 19 6 3 10 -15 21
12 Stabaek 19 5 5 9 -6 20
13 Mjondalen 19 4 8 7 -8 20
14 Ranheim 19 5 4 10 -12 19
15 Stromsgodset 19 4 4 11 -16 16
16 Sarpsborg 08 19 2 9 8 -7 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stabaek Stromsgodset
1–0 Ola Brynhildsen
Emil Bohinen
5′
23′
🟨 Jack Ipalibo
39′
🔁 Johan Hove
↦ Muhammed Keita
Half-time 1–0
Luc Kassi 🔁
↦ Tortol Lumanza
63′
66′
🔁 Mustapha Fofana
↦ Mounir Hamoud
Hugo Vetlesen 🔁
↦ Youssef Toutouh
69′
Vadim Demidov 🟨
76′
81′
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen 1–1
Jakob Glesnes
2–1 Luc Kassi
Emil Bohinen
86′
Ronald Hernández 🔁
↦ Ola Brynhildsen
90′
90′
🔁 Martin Ovenstad
↦ Jack Ipalibo
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Stabaek

4-5-1
12 Marcus Sandberg G
16 Andreas Hanche-Olsen D
3 Yaw Amankwah D
4 Vadim Demidov D
18 Jeppe Moe D
20 Ola Brynhildsen M
22 Sammy Skytte M
8 Emil Bohinen M
67 Tortol Lumanza M
10 Youssef Toutouh M
21 Kasper Junker F
Bench (7)
1 Simen Lillevik Kjellevold
2 Ronald Hernández
5 Steinar Stromnes
6 Luc Kassi
25 Hugo Vetlesen
17 Daniel Braaten
19 Kosuke Kinoshita

Coach: J. Jönsson

Stromsgodset

4-3-1-2
35 Martin Hansen G
2 Mounir Hamoud D
5 Jakob Glesnes D
4 Duplexe Tchamba D
3 Jonathan Parr D
7 Herman Stengel M
42 Jack Ipalibo M
77 Muhammed Keita M
20 Mikkel Maigaard M
88 Lars-Jørgen Salvesen F
10 Moses Dramwi Mawa F
Bench (7)
1 Viljar Myhra
22 Prosper Mendy
55 David Campher
6 Henning Hauger
8 Johan Hove
18 Martin Ovenstad
56 Mustapha Fofana

Coach: H. Pedersen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Kristoffer Hagenes · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.