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La Liga
Referee: Santiago Jaime Latre
Levante
S S U S T
1–0
Full-time
Malaga
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Levante Malaga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
This season — La Liga · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 16%
19%
13%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
50%
31%
Both score Ø 39%
47%
31%
Average goals
2,4
2,2
Scored
0,9
0,6
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
11 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Levante 17. · Malaga 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 33 25 8 0 +64 83
2 Ath Madrid 33 21 8 4 +36 71
3 Real Madrid 33 20 8 5 +44 68
4 Valencia 33 20 5 8 +26 65
5 Betis 32 16 4 12 +0 52
6 Villarreal 33 15 6 12 +5 51
7 Sevilla 33 14 6 13 -11 48
8 Girona 33 13 8 12 -4 47
9 Getafe 33 12 9 12 +7 45
10 Celta 33 12 8 13 +6 44
11 Sociedad 33 12 7 14 +8 43
12 Eibar 33 12 7 14 -9 43
13 Ath Bilbao 33 9 13 11 -3 40
14 Leganes 33 11 6 16 -13 39
15 Alaves 33 12 2 19 -17 38
16 Espanol 33 8 12 13 -14 36
17 Levante 32 6 13 13 -20 31
18 La Coruna 33 6 9 18 -33 27
19 Las Palmas 32 5 6 21 -42 21
20 Malaga 32 4 5 23 -30 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Levante Malaga
Jefferson Lerma 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–0
Sergio Postigo 🔁
↦ E. Cabaco
46′
Jason 🔁
↦ Ivi López
69′
69′
🔁 M. Iturra
↦ M. Lacen
77′
🔁 Bueno
↦ G. Castro
S. Lukić 🔁
↦ Campaña
83′
83′
🔁 Borja Bastón
↦ B. Ideye
90′
🟨 Adrián González
1–0 E. Boateng
S. Lukić
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Levante

4-4-2
13 Oier G
19 Pedro López D
12 Coke D
18 E. Cabaco D
4 Rober D
24 Campaña M
11 José Luis Morales M
8 J. Lerma M
9 Roger Martí F
14 Ivi López M
21 E. Boateng F
Bench (7)
15 Sergio Postigo
23 Jason
20 S. Lukić
7 A. Sadiku
10 E. Bardhi
22 Luna
27 Koke

Coach: Paco López

Malaga

4-4-2
1 Roberto Jiménez G
23 Miguel Torres D
18 R. Rosales D
4 Luis Hernández D
2 Miquel D
11 G. Castro M
8 Adrián M
25 M. Lacen M
12 B. Ideye F
22 M. Lestienne M
24 D. Rolan F
Bench (7)
7 M. Iturra
19 Bueno
9 Borja Bastón
3 Diego González
13 Andrés Prieto
20 Keko
26 Y. En-Nesyri

Coach: José González

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Santiago Jaime Latre · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.