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La Liga
Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano
Ath Madrid
T S T S U
3–0
Full-time
Levante
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
This season — La Liga · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 42%
65%
19%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
32%
48%
Both score Ø 40%
32%
48%
Average goals
2,1
2,4
Scored
1,6
0,9
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%
13 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Madrid 2. · Levante 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 32 25 7 0 +64 82
2 Ath Madrid 31 20 8 3 +36 68
3 Valencia 32 20 5 7 +27 65
4 Real Madrid 31 19 7 5 +43 64
5 Betis 32 16 4 12 +0 52
6 Villarreal 32 14 6 12 +4 48
7 Sevilla 32 14 5 13 -11 47
8 Girona 32 12 8 12 -5 44
9 Celta 32 12 7 13 +6 43
10 Sociedad 32 11 7 14 +5 40
11 Eibar 32 11 7 14 -10 40
12 Getafe 31 10 9 12 +5 39
13 Ath Bilbao 32 9 12 11 -3 39
14 Leganes 32 11 6 15 -12 39
15 Alaves 32 12 2 18 -16 38
16 Espanol 31 8 12 11 -12 36
17 Levante 31 6 13 12 -17 31
18 La Coruna 32 6 8 18 -33 26
19 Las Palmas 32 5 6 21 -42 21
20 Malaga 31 4 5 22 -29 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Madrid Levante
Lucas Hernández 🟨
29′
1–0 Á. Correa
Vitolo
33′
34′
🟨 Pedro López
Antoine Griezmann 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 E. Bardhi
↦ Jason
46′
🔁 Ivi López
↦ A. Sadiku
2–0 A. Griezmann
Š. Vrsaljko
48′
Fernando Torres 🔁
↦ A. Griezmann
58′
Gabi 🔁
↦ Koke
62′
3–0 Fernando Torres
Á. Correa
77′
Juanfran 🔁
↦ Vitolo
78′
78′
🔁 Chema
↦ A. Abeid
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
13 J. Oblak G
2 D. Godín D
16 Š. Vrsaljko D
15 S. Savić D
19 L. Hernández D
23 Vitolo M
8 Saúl M
6 Koke M
21 K. Gameiro F
7 A. Griezmann F
11 Á. Correa M
Bench (7)
9 Fernando Torres
14 Gabi
20 Juanfran
24 J. Giménez
25 A. Werner
30 Roberto Olabe
54 Juan Agüero

Coach: D. Simeone

Levante

4-4-2
13 Oier G
19 Pedro López D
18 E. Cabaco D
30 A. Abeid D
4 Rober D
24 Campaña M
11 José Luis Morales M
8 J. Lerma M
7 A. Sadiku F
9 Roger Martí F
23 Jason M
Bench (7)
10 E. Bardhi
14 Ivi López
6 Chema
15 Sergio Postigo
17 G. Pazzini
20 S. Lukić
27 Koke

Coach: Paco López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jesus Gil Manzano · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.