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Eredivisie
Referee: Jochem Kamphuis
Ajax
S S S S T
4–1
Full-time
VVV Venlo
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax VVV Venlo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,8
Scored
2,3
0,8
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,2
This season — Eredivisie · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 47%
71%
23%
Points per game
2,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
77%
39%
Both score Ø 55%
61%
48%
Average goals
3,6
2,5
Scored
2,6
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,6
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

75% Possession 25%
32 Shots 11
13 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 9
11 Corners 0
2 Offside 1
4 Free kicks against 8
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ajax 2. · VVV Venlo 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 32 26 3 3 +48 81
2 Ajax 31 22 4 5 +49 70
3 AZ Alkmaar 32 21 5 6 +31 68
4 Feyenoord 32 18 6 8 +34 60
5 Heerenveen 30 12 9 9 +1 45
6 Zwolle 32 12 8 12 -5 44
7 Utrecht 28 11 9 8 -2 42
8 Vitesse 28 11 8 9 +14 41
9 Den Haag 30 11 7 12 -8 40
10 Excelsior 32 11 7 14 -10 40
11 Heracles 32 10 8 14 -17 38
12 Groningen 32 7 13 12 -4 34
13 VVV Venlo 31 7 13 11 -12 34
14 Willem II 32 9 6 17 -14 33
15 NAC Breda 32 8 6 18 -19 30
16 Roda 32 7 6 19 -29 27
17 Sparta Rotterdam 32 7 6 19 -36 27
18 Twente 32 5 8 19 -21 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Aug -17 VVV Venlo – Ajax 0–2

Match report

Ajax VVV Venlo
12′
🔁 R. Janssen
↦ D. Post
R. Kristensen 🔁
↦ J. Veltman
39′
43′
R. Seuntjens 0–1
1–1 David Neres
D. van de Beek
45′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 David Neres
48′
3–1 K. Huntelaar
David Neres
59′
K. Dolberg 🔁
↦ K. Huntelaar
68′
70′
🔁 E. Korkmaz
↦ J. Promes
4–1 H. Ziyech
D. van de Beek
79′
J. Ekkelenkamp 🔁
↦ N. Mazraoui
84′
89′
🔁 E. Linthorst
↦ M. Rutten
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Ajax

3-4-3
1 A. Onana G
3 J. Veltman D
4 M. de Ligt D
5 M. Wöber D
20 L. Schöne M
10 H. Ziyech M
6 D. van de Beek M
40 N. Mazraoui D
9 K. Huntelaar F
45 J. Kluivert F
7 David Neres F
Bench (9)
43 R. Kristensen
25 K. Dolberg
47 J. Ekkelenkamp
28 L. Orejuela
19 M. Cassierra
36 D. de Wit
33 K. Lamprou
41 A. Matusiwa
44 M. Bakker

Coach: E. ten Hag

VVV Venlo

4-3-3
1 L. Unnerstall G
3 J. Promes D
5 L. Labylle D
13 N. Röseler D
2 M. Rutten D
20 D. van Bruggen M
17 T. Dekker D
6 D. Post M
9 R. Seuntjens M
19 T. Hunte F
7 V. van Crooij F
Bench (8)
4 R. Janssen
25 E. Korkmaz
37 E. Linthorst
31 B. Verbong
15 R. Castelen
26 E. Riis
16 D. van Crooij
24 L. Bezzat

Coach: M. Steijn

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jochem Kamphuis · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.