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La Liga
Referee: Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva
Ath Bilbao
U U U T T
1–1
Full-time
Getafe
T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Getafe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
1,8
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 21%
8%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
50%
8%
Both score Ø 54%
75%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
1,6
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%
8 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 2
3 Offside 5
10 Free kicks against 12
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Bilbao 18. · Getafe 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 13 7 4 2 +16 25
2 Ath Madrid 13 6 6 1 +8 24
3 Sevilla 12 7 2 3 +10 23
4 Alaves 13 7 2 4 +4 23
5 Espanol 12 6 3 3 +6 21
6 Real Madrid 13 6 2 5 +1 20
7 Levante 13 5 3 5 -1 18
8 Eibar 13 5 3 5 -3 18
9 Valencia 13 3 8 2 +2 17
10 Valladolid 12 4 5 3 +0 17
11 Girona 12 4 5 3 -1 17
12 Sociedad 12 4 4 4 +1 16
13 Getafe 12 4 4 4 +1 16
14 Betis 12 4 4 4 -3 16
15 Celta 12 3 5 4 +2 14
16 Leganes 13 3 4 6 -6 13
17 Villarreal 12 2 5 5 -2 11
18 Ath Bilbao 12 1 7 4 -6 10
19 Vallecano 13 1 4 8 -14 7
20 Huesca 13 1 4 8 -15 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Bilbao Getafe
Unai Núñez 🟨
25′
27′
🟨 Mauro Arambarri
29′
🟨 Amath Ndiaye
32′
🟨 Leandro Cabrera
Half-time 0–0
Iñigo Córdoba 🔁
↦ Raúl García
58′
Peru Nolaskoain 🔁
↦ Balenziaga
61′
1–0 Peru Nolaskoain
Beñat
67′
Peru Nolaskoain Esnal 🟨
73′
74′
🔁 Portillo
↦ D. Foulquier
74′
🔁 Ángel
↦ Jorge Molina
77′
Jaime Mata 1–1
A. Ndiaye
Iñigo Martínez 🟨
80′
Aduriz 🔁
↦ Susaeta
80′
Íñigo Córdoba 🟨
90′
Aritz Aduriz 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Jaime Mata
90′
🔁 S. Cristóforo
↦ A. Ndiaye
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
13 Iago Herrerín G
24 Balenziaga D
18 De Marcos D
4 Íñigo Martínez D
3 Unai Núñez D
22 Raúl García M
14 Susaeta M
6 San José M
7 Beñat M
10 Muniain F
9 Iñaki Williams F
Bench (7)
11 Iñigo Córdoba
31 Peru Nolaskoain
20 Aduriz
2 C. Ganea
16 Dani García
21 Ander Capa
25 Unai Simón

Coach: E. Berizzo

Getafe

4-4-2
13 David Soria G
3 Antunes D
22 D. Suárez D
6 L. Cabrera D
24 D. Foulquier D
2 D. Dakonam D
20 N. Maksimović M
18 M. Arambarri M
19 Jorge Molina F
7 Jaime Mata F
11 A. Ndiaye M
Bench (7)
8 Portillo
9 Ángel
15 S. Cristóforo
1 L. Chichizola
14 Sergi Guardiola
17 Robert Ibáñez
21 Miquel

Coach: José Bordalás

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.