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La Liga

Referee: Mario Melero Lopez

Leganes

S T S U T

1–1

Full-time

Ath Madrid

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Ath Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

1,7

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

1,0

0,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,3

This season — La Liga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 35%

20%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

40%

10%

Both score Ø 40%

50%

30%

Average goals

2,3

1,7

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%

8 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 7

0 Offside 2

18 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leganes 18. · Ath Madrid 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	10	6	3	1	+16	21
2	Alaves	10	6	2	2	+5	20
3	Sevilla	10	6	1	3	+9	19
4	Ath Madrid	10	5	4	1	+7	19
5	Espanol	10	5	3	2	+6	18
6	Valladolid	10	4	4	2	+2	16
7	Levante	10	5	1	4	+1	16
8	Getafe	10	4	3	3	+2	15
9	Real Madrid	10	4	2	4	+0	14
10	Celta	10	3	4	3	+4	13
11	Girona	10	3	4	3	-2	13
12	Sociedad	10	3	3	4	-1	12
13	Betis	10	3	3	4	-4	12
14	Valencia	10	1	8	1	-1	11
15	Eibar	10	3	2	5	-7	11
16	Ath Bilbao	10	1	7	2	-4	10
17	Villarreal	10	2	3	5	-2	9
18	Leganes	10	2	2	6	-7	8
19	Vallecano	10	1	3	6	-10	6
20	Huesca	10	1	2	7	-14	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	6	4	2	0	+15	14
2	Ath Madrid	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Espanol	4	4	0	0	+6	12
4	Alaves	5	3	2	0	+3	11
5	Real Madrid	5	3	1	1	+5	10
6	Sevilla	5	3	1	1	+3	10
7	Celta	6	2	3	1	+5	9
8	Leganes	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Getafe	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Valladolid	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Eibar	5	2	1	2	-1	7
12	Levante	5	2	1	2	-2	7
13	Betis	5	2	1	2	-2	7
14	Girona	6	2	1	3	-3	7
15	Ath Bilbao	6	1	3	2	-4	6
16	Valencia	5	0	5	0	+0	5
17	Sociedad	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Villarreal	5	0	2	3	-3	2
19	Vallecano	5	0	2	3	-8	2
20	Huesca	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	6	3	1	2	+1	10
2	Sevilla	5	3	0	2	+6	9
3	Levante	5	3	0	2	+3	9
4	Alaves	5	3	0	2	+2	9
5	Valladolid	5	2	3	0	+2	9
6	Getafe	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Villarreal	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Barcelona	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Girona	4	1	3	0	+1	6
10	Espanol	6	1	3	2	+0	6
11	Ath Madrid	5	1	3	1	+0	6
12	Valencia	5	1	3	1	-1	6
13	Betis	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Ath Bilbao	4	0	4	0	+0	4
15	Celta	4	1	1	2	-1	4
16	Vallecano	5	1	1	3	-2	4
17	Real Madrid	5	1	1	3	-5	4
18	Eibar	5	1	1	3	-6	4
19	Huesca	6	1	1	4	-10	4
20	Leganes	6	0	1	5	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.