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La Liga
Referee: Carlos Del Cerro Grande
Sociedad
T T T T S
3–2
Full-time
Espanol
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Espanol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,8
This season — La Liga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 36%
33%
39%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
50%
44%
Both score Ø 47%
50%
44%
Average goals
2,2
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

39% Possession 61%
9 Shots 21
4 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 11
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 12
7 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 12. · Espanol 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 19 13 4 2 +33 43
2 Ath Madrid 19 10 8 1 +14 38
3 Sevilla 19 9 6 4 +11 33
4 Real Madrid 19 10 3 6 +4 33
5 Alaves 19 9 5 5 +3 32
6 Getafe 19 7 7 5 +5 28
7 Betis 19 7 5 7 -1 26
8 Girona 19 5 9 5 -2 24
9 Espanol 18 7 3 8 -5 24
10 Valencia 19 4 11 4 +0 23
11 Levante 19 6 5 8 -5 23
12 Sociedad 18 6 4 8 +0 22
13 Leganes 19 5 7 7 -4 22
14 Valladolid 19 5 7 7 -4 22
15 Ath Bilbao 19 4 10 5 -5 22
16 Eibar 19 5 7 7 -7 22
17 Celta 19 5 6 8 -1 21
18 Vallecano 19 5 4 10 -12 19
19 Villarreal 19 3 8 8 -5 17
20 Huesca 19 2 5 12 -19 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Espanol
1–0 Mikel Merino
3′
7′
🟨 David López
2–0 Willian José
8′
22′
🟨 Sergi Darder
32′
Naldo 2–1
Granero
Aritz Elustondo 🟨
33′
Mikel Merino 🟨
43′
Half-time 3–1
46′
Diego Llorente 3–1
own goal
Héctor Moreno 🟨
58′
Asier Illarramendi 🟨
61′
Roberto López 🔁
↦ Luca Sangalli
62′
4–1 Willian José
Mikel Merino
63′
Willian José 🟨
64′
65′
🟨 Didac Vila
Mikel Oyarzabal 🔁
↦ Juanmi
65′
69′
🟨 Naldo
72′
🔁 P. Piatti
↦ Sergi Darder
Mikel Merino 🟨
75′
Mikel Merino 🟥
75′
78′
🔁 Javi Puado
↦ Granero
Igor Zubeldía 🔁
↦ A. Januzaj
84′
84′
🔁 Alejandro López
↦ Óscar Melendo
Gerónimo Rulli 🟨
90′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-2-3-1
1 G. Rulli G
6 H. Moreno D
3 Diego Llorente D
15 Aritz Elustondo D
29 Ahien Muñoz
4 Illarramendi M
11 A. Januzaj M
23 Luca Sangalli M
8 Mikel Merino M
12 Willian José F
7 Juanmi F
Bench (7)
28 Roberto López
10 Mikel Oyarzabal
5 Igor Zubeldía
2 Joseba Zaldúa
13 Moyà
19 T. Hernández
21 Jon Bautista

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Espanol

4-1-4-1
13 Diego López G
8 R. Rosales D
12 Dídac Vilá D
5 Naldo D
15 David López D
23 Granero M
10 Sergi Darder M
21 Marc Roca M
14 Óscar Melendo M
11 Léo Baptistão F
7 Borja Iglesias F
Bench (7)
19 P. Piatti
20 Javi Puado
18 Alejandro López
1 Roberto Jiménez
4 Víctor Sánchez
16 Javi López
28 Adrià Pedrosa

Coach: Rubí

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Carlos Del Cerro Grande · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.