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La Liga
Referee: Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva
Sociedad
T U S S T
1–2
Full-time
Valladolid
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Valladolid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — La Liga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 33%
36%
29%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
57%
21%
Both score Ø 43%
57%
29%
Average goals
2,4
1,8
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%
23 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
11 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 11. · Valladolid 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 15 9 4 2 +22 31
2 Sevilla 15 8 4 3 +11 28
3 Ath Madrid 15 7 7 1 +11 28
4 Real Madrid 15 8 2 5 +4 26
5 Alaves 15 7 3 5 +1 24
6 Levante 15 6 4 5 +2 22
7 Getafe 15 5 6 4 +4 21
8 Girona 14 5 6 3 +1 21
9 Espanol 15 6 3 6 -3 21
10 Celta 15 5 5 5 +4 20
11 Sociedad 14 5 4 5 +1 19
12 Betis 14 5 4 5 -3 19
13 Eibar 15 5 4 6 -4 19
14 Valencia 15 3 9 3 +0 18
15 Valladolid 14 4 5 5 -3 17
16 Leganes 15 4 5 6 -4 17
17 Villarreal 15 3 5 7 -4 14
18 Ath Bilbao 14 1 8 5 -9 11
19 Vallecano 14 2 4 8 -13 10
20 Huesca 15 1 4 10 -18 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Valladolid
4′
🟨 Fernando Calero
16′
Toni Suárez 0–1
Óscar Plano
Half-time 0–1
Sandro Ramírez 🔁
↦ Juanmi
46′
54′
Antoñito 0–2
Rubén Alcaraz
1–2 Mikel Oyarzabal
R. Le Normand
62′
Jon Bautista 🔁
↦ T. Hernández
65′
Mikel Merino 🟨
66′
71′
🟨 Míchel Herrero
Rubén Pardo 🔁
↦ Mikel Merino
71′
Joseba Zaldúa 🟨
73′
75′
🔁 Borja Fernández
↦ Toni Suárez
79′
🔁 D. Čop
↦ E. Ünal
90′
🔁 Anuar Tuhami
↦ Míchel
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-2-3-1
13 Moyà G
6 H. Moreno D
2 Joseba Zaldúa D
27 R. Le Normand
19 T. Hernández D
4 Illarramendi M
11 A. Januzaj M
8 Mikel Merino M
12 Willian José F
7 Juanmi F
10 Mikel Oyarzabal M
Bench (7)
24 Sandro Ramírez
21 Jon Bautista
14 Rubén Pardo
1 G. Rulli
5 Igor Zubeldía
18 Andoni Gorosabel
29 Ahien Muñoz

Coach: Asier Garitano

Valladolid

4-4-2
1 Jordi Masip G
4 Kiko Olivas D
18 Antoñito D
22 Nacho Martínez D
5 Fernando Calero D
21 Míchel M
24 Keko M
14 Rubén Alcaraz M
19 Toni Suárez M
10 Óscar Plano M
9 E. Ünal F
Bench (7)
8 Borja Fernández
20 D. Čop
23 Anuar Tuhami
3 Moi Delgado
32 L. Suárez
13 Yoel
11 D. Verde

Coach: Sergio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.