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La Liga
Referee: Antonio Mateu
Espanol
U U U S U
2–1
Full-time
Sociedad
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
1,8
3,5
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
This season — La Liga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 30%
26%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
30%
74%
Both score Ø 56%
44%
67%
Average goals
2,1
3,6
Scored
0,9
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%
18 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Espanol 15. · Sociedad 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 28 22 6 0 +59 72
2 Ath Madrid 27 18 7 2 +33 61
3 Real Madrid 28 17 6 5 +37 57
4 Valencia 28 17 5 6 +24 56
5 Sevilla 28 14 3 11 -6 45
6 Girona 28 12 7 9 +4 43
7 Villarreal 27 12 5 10 +4 41
8 Eibar 28 11 6 11 -6 39
9 Celta 27 11 5 11 +6 38
10 Betis 27 11 4 12 -9 37
11 Getafe 28 9 9 10 +7 36
12 Sociedad 27 9 6 12 +1 33
13 Leganes 27 9 6 12 -9 33
14 Ath Bilbao 27 7 11 9 -4 32
15 Espanol 27 7 11 9 -9 32
16 Alaves 27 10 1 16 -15 31
17 Levante 28 4 12 12 -19 24
18 Las Palmas 27 5 5 17 -35 20
19 La Coruna 28 4 7 17 -34 19
20 Malaga 28 3 4 21 -29 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Espanol Sociedad
13′
🟨 Diego Llorente
41′
Willian José 0–1
Half-time 1–1
1–1 Léo Baptistão
Granero
51′
57′
🔁 Zurutuza
↦ Juanmi
67′
🔁 A. Januzaj
↦ Willian José
2–1 Gerard Moreno
72′
Óscar Melendo 🔁
↦ P. Piatti
73′
79′
🔁 Jon Bautista
↦ Canales
José Jurado 🔁
↦ Léo Baptistão
81′
Javi López 🔁
↦ Marc Navarro
86′
88′
🟨 Alberto de la Bella
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Espanol

4-4-2
1 Pau López G
6 Ó. Duarte D
3 Aarón Martín D
2 Marc Navarro D
8 C. Sánchez M
23 Granero M
4 Víctor Sánchez M
19 P. Piatti M
15 David López D
7 Gerard Moreno F
11 Léo Baptistão F
Bench (7)
14 Óscar Melendo
10 José Jurado
16 Javi López
26 Edu Frías
5 Naldo
21 Marc Roca
22 Mario Hermoso

Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores

Sociedad

4-3-3
25 Moyà G
6 H. Moreno D
24 De La Bella D
3 Diego Llorente D
19 Álvaro Odriozola D
16 Canales M
4 Illarramendi M
5 Igor Zubeldía M
12 Willian José F
7 Juanmi F
18 Mikel Oyarzabal M
Bench (7)
17 Zurutuza
8 A. Januzaj
21 Jon Bautista
20 Kévin Rodrigues
15 Aritz Elustondo
13 Toño
9 Agirretxe

Coach: Eusebio Sacristán

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Antonio Mateu · 160 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.