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La Liga
Referee: Santiago Jaime Latre
Celta
T T T S T
1–4
Full-time
Levante
T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,0
This season — La Liga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 28%
26%
30%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
61%
65%
Both score Ø 61%
70%
52%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

57% Possession 43%
14 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 7
3 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celta 16. · Levante 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 23 15 6 2 +37 51
2 Real Madrid 23 14 3 6 +13 45
3 Ath Madrid 23 12 8 3 +16 44
4 Sevilla 23 10 7 6 +13 37
5 Getafe 24 9 9 6 +9 36
6 Alaves 23 10 5 8 -3 35
7 Betis 23 9 5 9 -3 32
8 Valencia 23 6 13 4 +4 31
9 Sociedad 23 8 7 8 +2 31
10 Eibar 24 7 10 7 -1 31
11 Leganes 23 7 8 8 -2 29
12 Espanol 23 8 4 11 -10 28
13 Ath Bilbao 23 5 12 6 -5 27
14 Levante 23 7 6 10 -10 27
15 Valladolid 23 6 8 9 -9 26
16 Celta 23 6 6 11 -4 24
17 Girona 23 5 9 9 -10 24
18 Vallecano 23 6 5 12 -13 23
19 Villarreal 23 3 11 9 -8 20
20 Huesca 23 4 6 13 -16 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celta Levante
20′
José Luis Morales 0–1
Rubén Rochina
40′
Coke 0–2
Rubén Rochina
Sofiane Boufal 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–2
S. Lobotka 🔁
↦ Jozabed
46′
Ryad Boudebouz 🟥
49′
59′
🔁 C. Doukouré
↦ Rubén Rochina
62′
José Luis Morales 0–3
Borja Mayoral
M. Jensen 🔁
↦ Fran Beltrán
72′
79′
🔁 Chema
↦ Coke
80′
🟨 Cheick Doukouré
84′
🔁 R. Dwamena
↦ José Luis Morales
1–3 Brais Méndez
88′
89′
Borja Mayoral 1–4
E. Bardhi
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Celta

4-2-3-1
13 Rubén Blanco G
2 Hugo Mallo D
4 N. Araújo D
17 Juncà D
12 W. Hoedt D
24 R. Boudebouz F
5 O. Yokuşlu M
21 Jozabed M
19 S. Boufal M
23 Brais Méndez M
8 Fran Beltrán M
Bench (7)
14 S. Lobotka
18 M. Jensen
1 Sergio Álvarez
3 David Costas
10 Iago Aspas
11 P. Sisto
20 Kevin Vázquez

Coach: Miguel Cardoso

Levante

3-5-2
25 Aitor Fernández G
12 Coke D
22 Luna D
14 Rúben Vezo D
4 Rober D
16 Rubén Rochina M
24 Campaña M
11 José Luis Morales M
10 E. Bardhi M
7 M. Simon F
2 Borja Mayoral F
Bench (7)
5 C. Doukouré
6 Chema
20 R. Dwamena
9 Roger Martí
13 Oier
23 Jason
17 N. Vukčević

Coach: Paco López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Santiago Jaime Latre · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.