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La Liga
Referee: Alejandro Hernandez
Leganes
U U T S T
2–2
Full-time
Eibar
U U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Eibar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,7
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — La Liga · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 28%
25%
30%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
30%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,1
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

54% Possession 46%
9 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leganes 15. · Eibar 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 20 14 4 2 +35 46
2 Ath Madrid 21 12 8 1 +19 44
3 Sevilla 21 10 6 5 +14 36
4 Real Madrid 20 11 3 6 +6 36
5 Alaves 20 9 5 6 -1 32
6 Getafe 21 8 7 6 +7 31
7 Betis 20 8 5 7 +0 29
8 Sociedad 20 7 5 8 +1 26
9 Valencia 20 5 11 4 +1 26
10 Levante 21 7 5 9 -8 26
11 Eibar 20 6 7 7 -4 25
12 Girona 20 5 9 6 -3 24
13 Espanol 20 7 3 10 -9 24
14 Ath Bilbao 20 4 11 5 -5 23
15 Leganes 20 5 7 8 -6 22
16 Valladolid 20 5 7 8 -6 22
17 Celta 20 5 6 9 -2 21
18 Vallecano 20 5 5 10 -12 20
19 Villarreal 20 3 9 8 -5 18
20 Huesca 20 2 5 13 -22 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leganes Eibar
29′
Kike 0–1
Joan Jordán
Dimitrios Siovas 🟨
35′
36′
Joan Jordán 0–2
38′
🟨 Marc Cucurella
Half-time 0–2
José Arnáiz 🔁
↦ D. Siovas
46′
1–2 Y. En-Nesyri
M. Braithwaite
46′
Recio 🟨
51′
66′
🟨 Marko Dmitrović
2–2 Y. En-Nesyri
Bustinza
67′
70′
🔁 Ramis
↦ Bigas
70′
🔁 Charles
↦ Sergi Enrich
80′
🔁 G. Escalante
↦ Marc Cucurella
Sabin Merino 🔁
↦ Y. En-Nesyri
86′
87′
🟨 Charles Días
Michael Santos 🔁
↦ Óscar Rodríguez
89′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Leganes

5-3-2
1 Pichu Cuéllar G
22 D. Siovas D
12 A. Nyom D
24 K. Omeruo D
5 J. Silva D
3 Bustinza D
8 Recio M
23 Mikel Vesga M
27 Óscar Rodríguez M
25 M. Braithwaite F
26 Y. En-Nesyri F
Bench (7)
16 José Arnáiz
18 Sabin Merino
20 Michael Santos
6 Gerard Gumbau
10 N. El Zhar
15 Rodri Tarín
29 A. Lunin

Coach: M. Pellegrino

Eibar

4-4-2
1 M. Dmitrović G
23 Arbilla D
15 Cote D
3 Bigas D
20 Marc Cucurella D
8 P. Diop M
16 P. De Blasis M
11 Rubén Peña D
24 Joan Jordán M
17 Kike F
9 Sergi Enrich F
Bench (7)
4 Ramis
19 Charles
5 G. Escalante
6 Sergio Álvarez
12 Paulo Oliveira
13 Asier Riesgo
22 Pere Milla

Coach: Mendilibar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alejandro Hernandez · 223 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.