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La Liga

Referee: Mario Melero Lopez

Barcelona

U U S S S

3–1

Full-time

Vallecano

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Vallecano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,8

This season — La Liga · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 46%

69%

23%

Points per game

2,3

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

62%

58%

Both score Ø 58%

58%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

2,5

1,1

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,6

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

68% Possession 32%

12 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 4

5 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barcelona 1. · Vallecano 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	26	18	6	2	+41	60
2	Ath Madrid	27	16	8	3	+22	56
3	Real Madrid	26	15	3	8	+12	48
4	Getafe	26	11	9	6	+11	42
5	Alaves	27	11	8	8	-2	41
6	Sevilla	26	10	7	9	+7	37
7	Valencia	26	7	15	4	+6	36
8	Betis	26	10	6	10	-2	36
9	Sociedad	26	9	8	9	+3	35
10	Eibar	27	8	11	8	-1	35
11	Ath Bilbao	27	7	13	7	-5	34
12	Espanol	27	9	7	11	-8	34
13	Leganes	27	8	9	10	-5	33
14	Girona	26	7	10	9	-7	31
15	Levante	26	8	6	12	-9	30
16	Valladolid	26	6	8	12	-14	26
17	Celta	26	6	7	13	-8	25
18	Villarreal	26	4	11	11	-8	23
19	Vallecano	26	6	5	15	-17	23
20	Huesca	26	5	7	14	-16	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	14	11	2	1	+16	35
2	Barcelona	13	9	3	1	+24	30
3	Eibar	14	7	5	2	+10	26
4	Real Madrid	13	8	1	4	+11	25
5	Espanol	13	8	1	4	+1	25
6	Sevilla	12	7	3	2	+10	24
7	Leganes	13	6	6	1	+7	24
8	Alaves	13	6	6	1	+6	24
9	Getafe	12	7	1	4	+10	22
10	Betis	14	6	4	4	+1	22
11	Ath Bilbao	14	5	7	2	+1	22
12	Valencia	14	4	9	1	+8	21
13	Celta	13	4	4	5	+1	16
14	Sociedad	13	4	4	5	+0	16
15	Levante	12	4	3	5	-5	15
16	Huesca	13	3	4	6	-3	13
17	Vallecano	14	3	4	7	-9	13
18	Villarreal	14	2	6	6	-2	12
19	Valladolid	12	3	3	6	-5	12
20	Girona	13	2	6	5	-7	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	13	9	3	1	+17	30
2	Real Madrid	13	7	2	4	+1	23
3	Ath Madrid	13	5	6	2	+6	21
4	Getafe	14	4	8	2	+1	20
5	Sociedad	13	5	4	4	+3	19
6	Girona	13	5	4	4	+0	19
7	Alaves	14	5	2	7	-8	17
8	Valencia	12	3	6	3	-2	15
9	Levante	14	4	3	7	-4	15
10	Betis	12	4	2	6	-3	14
11	Valladolid	14	3	5	6	-9	14
12	Sevilla	14	3	4	7	-3	13
13	Ath Bilbao	13	2	6	5	-6	12
14	Villarreal	12	2	5	5	-6	11
15	Vallecano	12	3	1	8	-8	10
16	Celta	13	2	3	8	-9	9
17	Espanol	14	1	6	7	-9	9
18	Eibar	13	1	6	6	-11	9
19	Leganes	14	2	3	9	-12	9
20	Huesca	13	2	3	8	-13	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.