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Eredivisie

Referee: Bernie Raymond Blom

VVV Venlo

T S T T T

1–0

Full-time

Excelsior

S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

VVV Venlo Excelsior

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

2,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,8

-0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 31%

33%

29%

Points per game

1,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

58%

67%

Both score Ø 56%

54%

58%

Average goals

3,1

3,7

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,8

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%

16 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match VVV Venlo 10. · Excelsior 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	24	19	4	1	+60	61
2	Ajax	23	18	2	3	+62	56
3	Feyenoord	24	14	4	6	+23	46
4	AZ Alkmaar	24	13	4	7	+21	43
5	Heracles	22	11	2	9	+1	35
6	Vitesse	21	9	6	6	+8	33
7	Utrecht	22	8	7	7	+2	31
8	Heerenveen	24	7	9	8	-1	30
9	Groningen	23	8	5	10	-1	29
10	VVV Venlo	24	8	5	11	-12	29
11	Willem II	24	8	4	12	-9	28
12	Den Haag	24	7	7	10	-15	28
13	For Sittard	24	7	5	12	-16	26
14	Excelsior	24	7	5	12	-24	26
15	Zwolle	23	7	4	12	-12	25
16	FC Emmen	24	6	6	12	-28	24
17	De Graafschap	24	6	4	14	-26	22
18	NAC Breda	24	4	5	15	-33	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	12	11	1	0	+40	34
2	Feyenoord	12	11	0	1	+25	33
3	Ajax	11	9	2	0	+41	29
4	AZ Alkmaar	12	7	3	2	+17	24
5	Heracles	11	8	0	3	+13	24
6	Vitesse	10	6	3	1	+7	21
7	Utrecht	12	5	4	3	+8	19
8	VVV Venlo	11	5	3	3	+6	18
9	For Sittard	12	5	3	4	+4	18
10	Excelsior	13	5	3	5	-8	18
11	De Graafschap	13	5	2	6	+0	17
12	Groningen	11	5	1	5	+4	16
13	NAC Breda	12	4	3	5	-4	15
14	Den Haag	12	4	3	5	-9	15
15	Willem II	11	3	2	6	-4	11
16	Heerenveen	12	2	5	5	-7	11
17	Zwolle	12	3	2	7	-7	11
18	FC Emmen	12	2	4	6	-10	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	12	9	0	3	+21	27
2	PSV Eindhoven	12	8	3	1	+20	27
3	Heerenveen	12	5	4	3	+6	19
4	AZ Alkmaar	12	6	1	5	+4	19
5	Willem II	13	5	2	6	-5	17
6	Zwolle	11	4	2	5	-5	14
7	FC Emmen	12	4	2	6	-18	14
8	Feyenoord	12	3	4	5	-2	13
9	Groningen	12	3	4	5	-5	13
10	Den Haag	12	3	4	5	-6	13
11	Vitesse	11	3	3	5	+1	12
12	Utrecht	10	3	3	4	-6	12
13	Heracles	11	3	2	6	-12	11
14	VVV Venlo	13	3	2	8	-18	11
15	Excelsior	11	2	2	7	-16	8
16	For Sittard	12	2	2	8	-20	8
17	De Graafschap	11	1	2	8	-26	5
18	NAC Breda	12	0	2	10	-29	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.