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La Liga

Referee: Alberto Undiano

Barcelona

S S S S S

2–2

Full-time

Valencia

S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

2,8

1,7

Conceded

0,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,5

+0,7

This season — La Liga · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 50%

71%

29%

Points per game

2,3

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

67%

29%

Both score Ø 57%

62%

52%

Average goals

3,8

1,9

Scored

2,8

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,9

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

68% Possession 32%

20 Shots 14

8 Shots on target 8

4 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 7

9 Corners 1

2 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 5

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barcelona 1. · Valencia 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	21	15	4	2	+37	49
2	Ath Madrid	21	12	8	1	+19	44
3	Real Madrid	21	12	3	6	+8	39
4	Sevilla	21	10	6	5	+14	36
5	Getafe	22	8	8	6	+7	32
6	Alaves	21	9	5	7	-2	32
7	Sociedad	22	8	6	8	+2	30
8	Valencia	21	6	11	4	+4	29
9	Betis	21	8	5	8	-1	29
10	Levante	22	7	6	9	-8	27
11	Eibar	21	6	8	7	-4	26
12	Ath Bilbao	22	5	11	6	-5	26
13	Valladolid	22	6	7	9	-9	25
14	Girona	21	5	9	7	-5	24
15	Espanol	21	7	3	11	-11	24
16	Leganes	21	5	8	8	-6	23
17	Vallecano	21	6	5	10	-11	23
18	Celta	21	5	6	10	-3	21
19	Villarreal	21	3	9	9	-8	18
20	Huesca	22	3	6	13	-18	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	11	9	2	0	+15	29
2	Barcelona	11	8	2	1	+23	26
3	Sevilla	10	7	2	1	+12	23
4	Real Madrid	10	7	1	2	+10	22
5	Eibar	11	5	4	2	+6	19
6	Alaves	10	5	4	1	+4	19
7	Betis	11	5	3	3	+1	18
8	Espanol	10	6	0	4	-2	18
9	Leganes	10	4	5	1	+3	17
10	Ath Bilbao	11	4	5	2	+0	17
11	Getafe	10	5	1	4	+7	16
12	Valencia	11	3	7	1	+6	16
13	Levante	11	4	3	4	-4	15
14	Celta	11	3	4	4	+3	13
15	Sociedad	11	3	4	4	-1	13
16	Vallecano	11	3	4	4	-5	13
17	Valladolid	10	3	2	5	-3	11
18	Girona	11	2	5	4	-5	11
19	Huesca	11	2	4	5	-3	10
20	Villarreal	11	1	5	5	-4	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	10	7	2	1	+14	23
2	Sociedad	11	5	2	4	+3	17
3	Real Madrid	11	5	2	4	-2	17
4	Getafe	12	3	7	2	+0	16
5	Ath Madrid	10	3	6	1	+4	15
6	Valladolid	12	3	5	4	-6	14
7	Sevilla	11	3	4	4	+2	13
8	Girona	10	3	4	3	+0	13
9	Valencia	10	3	4	3	-2	13
10	Alaves	11	4	1	6	-6	13
11	Levante	11	3	3	5	-4	12
12	Betis	10	3	2	5	-2	11
13	Villarreal	10	2	4	4	-4	10
14	Vallecano	10	3	1	6	-6	10
15	Ath Bilbao	11	1	6	4	-5	9
16	Celta	10	2	2	6	-6	8
17	Eibar	10	1	4	5	-10	7
18	Espanol	11	1	3	7	-9	6
19	Leganes	11	1	3	7	-9	6
20	Huesca	11	1	2	8	-15	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.