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Eredivisie
Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk
PSV Eindhoven
S U U U S
2–0
Full-time
NAC Breda
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven NAC Breda
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
2,3
0,3
Conceded
1,0
2,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-2,3
This season — Eredivisie · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 48%
79%
17%
Points per game
2,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 48%
50%
46%
Average goals
3,8
3,3
Scored
3,2
1,0
Conceded
0,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
+2,5
-1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

70% Possession 30%
20 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 0
9 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 1. · NAC Breda 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 24 19 4 1 +60 61
2 Ajax 23 18 2 3 +62 56
3 Feyenoord 24 14 4 6 +23 46
4 AZ Alkmaar 24 13 4 7 +21 43
5 Heracles 22 11 2 9 +1 35
6 Vitesse 21 9 6 6 +8 33
7 VVV Venlo 25 9 5 11 -11 32
8 Utrecht 22 8 7 7 +2 31
9 Heerenveen 24 7 9 8 -1 30
10 Groningen 23 8 5 10 -1 29
11 Willem II 24 8 4 12 -9 28
12 Den Haag 24 7 7 10 -15 28
13 For Sittard 24 7 5 12 -16 26
14 Excelsior 25 7 5 13 -25 26
15 Zwolle 23 7 4 12 -12 25
16 FC Emmen 24 6 6 12 -28 24
17 De Graafschap 24 6 4 14 -26 22
18 NAC Breda 24 4 5 15 -33 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PSV Eindhoven NAC Breda
1–0 L. de Jong
C. Gakpo
5′
Angeliño 🟨
15′
Half-time 1–0
65′
🔁 M. Rosheuvel
↦ G. Korte
M. Sadílek 🔁
↦ J. Hendrix
67′
D. Malen 🔁
↦ C. Gakpo
68′
2–0 D. Malen
D. Dumfries
71′
78′
🔁 R. Mühren
↦ R. Lundqvist
G. Pereiro 🔁
↦ M. Ihattaren
82′
Donyell Malen 🟨
85′
90′
🔁 G. Kastaneer
↦ D. Dervite
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 J. Zoet G
5 D. Schwaab D
4 N. Viergever D
6 Angeliño D
22 D. Dumfries D
8 J. Hendrix M
18 P. Rosario M
52 M. Ihattaren M
9 L. de Jong F
17 S. Bergwijn F
19 C. Gakpo F
Bench (11)
32 M. Sadílek
14 D. Malen
7 G. Pereiro
23 B. Ramselaar
20 T. Sainsbury
13 E. Room
34 J. Piroe
3 A. Behich
41 M. van de Meulenhof
16 D. Rigo
25 É. Gutiérrez

Coach: M. van Bommel

NAC Breda

5-4-1
1 B. van Leer G
25 D. Dervite D
46 P. van Anholt D
4 M. Koch D
14 E. Palmer-Brown D
23 A. Gersbach D
28 G. Nijholt M
12 R. Lundqvist M
8 M. El Allouchi M
9 M. te Vrede F
7 G. Korte F
Bench (9)
17 M. Rosheuvel
11 R. Mühren
33 G. Kastaneer
26 K. Niemczycki
10 Paolo Fernandes
16 T. Zwarthoed
15 J. van Hecke
21 G. Leigh
20 M. Reuvers

Coach: M. van der Gaag

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Serdar Gozubuyuk · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.