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La Liga
Referee: Javier Estrada Fernandez
Real Madrid
T S T S S
3–2
Full-time
Huesca
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Huesca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
This season — La Liga · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 40%
61%
18%
Points per game
1,9
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
54%
54%
Both score Ø 50%
46%
54%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,1
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

71% Possession 29%
16 Shots 15
8 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 6
3 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Real Madrid 3. · Huesca 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 29 21 6 2 +48 69
2 Ath Madrid 29 17 8 4 +24 59
3 Real Madrid 28 17 3 8 +17 54
4 Getafe 29 12 10 7 +10 46
5 Alaves 29 12 8 9 -4 44
6 Sevilla 29 12 7 10 +10 43
7 Valencia 29 9 16 4 +8 43
8 Ath Bilbao 29 9 13 7 -2 40
9 Betis 29 11 7 11 -4 40
10 Sociedad 29 9 10 10 +0 37
11 Eibar 29 8 12 9 -2 36
12 Leganes 29 9 9 11 -5 36
13 Girona 29 8 10 11 -7 34
14 Espanol 29 9 7 13 -11 34
15 Levante 29 8 8 13 -11 32
16 Valladolid 29 7 9 13 -16 30
17 Villarreal 29 6 11 12 -5 29
18 Celta 29 7 7 15 -10 28
19 Vallecano 29 6 6 17 -21 24
20 Huesca 28 5 7 16 -19 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Dec -18 Huesca – Real Madrid 0–1

Match report

Real Madrid Huesca
3′
J. Hernández 0–1
E. Ávila
1–1 Isco
Brahim Díaz
25′
Half-time 1–1
48′
🟨 Jorge Pulido
51′
🟨 Damian Musto
2–1 Dani Ceballos
K. Benzema
62′
63′
🔁 Enric Gallego
↦ E. Ávila
Lucas Vázquez 🔁
↦ Brahim Díaz
64′
Nacho Fernández 🟨
66′
74′
Etxeita 2–2
Moi Gómez
F. Valverde 🔁
↦ Isco
75′
78′
🔁 J. Añor
↦ Christian Rivera
M. Díaz 🔁
↦ Marcos Llorente
79′
82′
🔁 Álex Gallar
↦ J. Hernández
3–2 K. Benzema
Marcelo
89′
90′
🟨 Martín Mantovani
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Real Madrid

4-3-3
30 L. Zidane G
4 Sergio Ramos D
12 Marcelo D
6 Nacho D
19 Álvaro Odriozola D
22 Isco M
18 Marcos Llorente M
24 Dani Ceballos M
21 Brahim Díaz M
9 K. Benzema F
11 G. Bale F
Bench (7)
17 Lucas Vázquez
15 F. Valverde
7 M. Díaz
23 Reguilón
3 Jesús Vallejo
1 K. Navas
14 Casemiro

Coach: Z. Zidane

Huesca

5-3-2
13 Santamaría G
3 Etxeita D
14 Jorge Pulido D
2 M. Mantovani D
12 Javier Galán D
23 D. Musto M
6 Moi Gómez M
21 Y. Herrera M
17 Christian Rivera M
19 E. Ávila F
9 J. Hernández F
Bench (7)
22 Enric Gallego
20 J. Añor
11 Álex Gallar
4 Adrián Diéguez
10 Juanjo Camacho
25 A. Jovanović
5 Aguilera

Coach: Francisco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Javier Estrada Fernandez · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.