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La Liga

Referee: Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez

Sevilla

T T T S S

0–1

Full-time

Valencia

U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

4,0

1,5

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

2,2

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,5

This season — La Liga · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 36%

43%

29%

Points per game

1,5

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

50%

29%

Both score Ø 52%

54%

50%

Average goals

3,0

1,9

Scored

1,7

1,1

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%

17 Shots 4

5 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 3

4 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sevilla 6. · Valencia 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	29	21	6	2	+48	69
2	Ath Madrid	29	17	8	4	+24	59
3	Real Madrid	28	17	3	8	+17	54
4	Getafe	29	12	10	7	+10	46
5	Alaves	29	12	8	9	-4	44
6	Sevilla	28	12	7	9	+11	43
7	Valencia	28	8	16	4	+7	40
8	Ath Bilbao	29	9	13	7	-2	40
9	Betis	29	11	7	11	-4	40
10	Sociedad	28	9	9	10	+0	36
11	Eibar	29	8	12	9	-2	36
12	Leganes	29	9	9	11	-5	36
13	Girona	29	8	10	11	-7	34
14	Espanol	29	9	7	13	-11	34
15	Levante	29	8	8	13	-11	32
16	Villarreal	29	6	11	12	-5	29
17	Valladolid	28	7	8	13	-16	29
18	Celta	29	7	7	15	-10	28
19	Vallecano	29	6	6	17	-21	24
20	Huesca	28	5	7	16	-19	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	15	11	3	1	+28	36
2	Ath Madrid	14	11	2	1	+16	35
3	Real Madrid	14	9	1	4	+13	28
4	Sevilla	13	8	3	2	+13	27
5	Eibar	15	7	5	3	+9	26
6	Getafe	14	8	1	5	+9	25
7	Ath Bilbao	15	6	7	2	+3	25
8	Espanol	14	8	1	5	+0	25
9	Leganes	14	6	6	2	+5	24
10	Alaves	14	6	6	2	+2	24
11	Valencia	15	4	10	1	+8	22
12	Betis	15	6	4	5	-2	22
13	Celta	15	5	4	6	+1	19
14	Sociedad	14	4	5	5	+0	17
15	Levante	14	4	4	6	-7	16
16	Villarreal	15	3	6	6	+0	15
17	Vallecano	15	3	5	7	-9	14
18	Huesca	14	3	4	7	-5	13
19	Valladolid	13	3	3	7	-8	12
20	Girona	15	2	6	7	-9	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	14	10	3	1	+20	33
2	Real Madrid	14	8	2	4	+4	26
3	Ath Madrid	15	6	6	3	+8	24
4	Girona	14	6	4	4	+2	22
5	Getafe	15	4	9	2	+1	21
6	Alaves	15	6	2	7	-6	20
7	Sociedad	14	5	4	5	+0	19
8	Valencia	13	4	6	3	-1	18
9	Betis	14	5	3	6	-2	18
10	Valladolid	15	4	5	6	-8	17
11	Sevilla	15	4	4	7	-2	16
12	Levante	15	4	4	7	-4	16
13	Ath Bilbao	14	3	6	5	-5	15
14	Villarreal	14	3	5	6	-5	14
15	Leganes	15	3	3	9	-10	12
16	Eibar	14	1	7	6	-11	10
17	Vallecano	14	3	1	10	-12	10
18	Celta	14	2	3	9	-11	9
19	Espanol	15	1	6	8	-11	9
20	Huesca	14	2	3	9	-14	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.