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La Liga
Referee: Antonio Mateu
Vallecano
T T T T T
1–1
Full-time
Betis
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,7
This season — La Liga · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 30%
21%
39%
Points per game
0,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
61%
43%
Both score Ø 52%
61%
43%
Average goals
2,9
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
20 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 4
22 Free kicks against 9
5 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vallecano 19. · Betis 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 29 21 6 2 +48 69
2 Ath Madrid 29 17 8 4 +24 59
3 Real Madrid 28 17 3 8 +17 54
4 Getafe 29 12 10 7 +10 46
5 Alaves 29 12 8 9 -4 44
6 Sevilla 28 12 7 9 +11 43
7 Valencia 28 8 16 4 +7 40
8 Ath Bilbao 29 9 13 7 -2 40
9 Betis 28 11 6 11 -4 39
10 Sociedad 28 9 9 10 +0 36
11 Eibar 29 8 12 9 -2 36
12 Leganes 29 9 9 11 -5 36
13 Girona 29 8 10 11 -7 34
14 Espanol 29 9 7 13 -11 34
15 Levante 29 8 8 13 -11 32
16 Villarreal 29 6 11 12 -5 29
17 Valladolid 28 7 8 13 -16 29
18 Celta 29 7 7 15 -10 28
19 Vallecano 28 6 5 17 -21 23
20 Huesca 28 5 7 16 -19 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vallecano Betis
Mario Suárez 🟨
30′
1–0 Raúl de Tomás
Bebé
34′
Half-time 1–0
50′
🟨 Emerson
Tito 🟨
52′
57′
🟨 William Carvalho
59′
🔁 Loren Morón
↦ Joaquín
Álvaro Medrán 🟨
61′
68′
🔁 W. Kaptoum
↦ G. Lo Celso
Bebé 🟨
70′
Ó. Trejo 🔁
↦ Álvaro Medrán
71′
Santi Comesaña 🔁
↦ José Ángel Pozo
80′
80′
🔁 Sergio León
↦ Jesé
81′
Cristian Tello 1–1
William Carvalho
87′
🟨 Loren Moron
F. Di Santo 🔁
↦ Mario Suárez
89′
Jordi Amat 🟨
90′
Franco di Santo 🟥
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Vallecano

4-3-3
13 S. Dimitrievski G
2 Tito D
16 Jordi Amat D
21 A. Ba D
15 Mario Suárez M
22 José Ángel Pozo M
7 Álex Moreno D
4 Álvaro Medrán M
18 Álvaro García M
14 Bebé F
9 Raúl de Tomás F
Bench (7)
8 Ó. Trejo
27 Santi Comesaña
25 F. Di Santo
1 Alberto García
17 L. Advíncula
11 Adri Embarba
10 G. Kakuta

Coach: Paco Jémez

Betis

3-4-1-2
13 Pau López G
12 Sidnei D
23 A. Mandi D
5 Bartra D
24 Emerson D
17 Joaquín M
6 Canales M
14 William Carvalho M
21 G. Lo Celso M
11 Cristian Tello F
10 Jesé F
Bench (7)
16 Loren Morón
34 W. Kaptoum
7 Sergio León
4 Z. Feddal
3 Javi García
19 Barragán
1 Joel Robles

Coach: Quique Setién

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Antonio Mateu · 160 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.