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La Liga

Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera

Real Madrid

S T S T S

2–0

Full-time

Celta

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,0

Scored

2,2

0,5

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,0

This season — La Liga · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 41%

59%

22%

Points per game

1,9

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

56%

Both score Ø 56%

48%

63%

Average goals

2,9

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%

22 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 1

9 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 2

2 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 3. · Celta 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	27	19	6	2	+43	63
2	Ath Madrid	27	16	8	3	+22	56
3	Real Madrid	27	16	3	8	+15	51
4	Getafe	27	12	9	6	+12	45
5	Alaves	28	12	8	8	+0	44
6	Sevilla	27	11	7	9	+10	40
7	Valencia	27	8	15	4	+7	39
8	Betis	27	11	6	10	-1	39
9	Sociedad	28	9	9	10	+0	36
10	Eibar	27	8	11	8	-1	35
11	Ath Bilbao	27	7	13	7	-5	34
12	Espanol	27	9	7	11	-8	34
13	Leganes	27	8	9	10	-5	33
14	Girona	27	7	10	10	-8	31
15	Levante	28	8	7	13	-11	31
16	Villarreal	27	5	11	11	-6	26
17	Valladolid	27	6	8	13	-17	26
18	Celta	27	6	7	14	-9	25
19	Vallecano	27	6	5	16	-19	23
20	Huesca	28	5	7	16	-19	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	14	11	2	1	+16	35
2	Barcelona	14	10	3	1	+26	33
3	Sevilla	13	8	3	2	+13	27
4	Eibar	14	7	5	2	+10	26
5	Getafe	13	8	1	4	+11	25
6	Real Madrid	13	8	1	4	+11	25
7	Espanol	13	8	1	4	+1	25
8	Leganes	13	6	6	1	+7	24
9	Alaves	13	6	6	1	+6	24
10	Betis	14	6	4	4	+1	22
11	Ath Bilbao	14	5	7	2	+1	22
12	Valencia	14	4	9	1	+8	21
13	Sociedad	14	4	5	5	+0	17
14	Celta	14	4	4	6	+0	16
15	Levante	13	4	3	6	-7	15
16	Huesca	14	3	4	7	-5	13
17	Vallecano	14	3	4	7	-9	13
18	Villarreal	14	2	6	6	-2	12
19	Girona	14	2	6	6	-8	12
20	Valladolid	13	3	3	7	-8	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	13	9	3	1	+17	30
2	Real Madrid	14	8	2	4	+4	26
3	Ath Madrid	13	5	6	2	+6	21
4	Getafe	14	4	8	2	+1	20
5	Alaves	15	6	2	7	-6	20
6	Sociedad	14	5	4	5	+0	19
7	Girona	13	5	4	4	+0	19
8	Valencia	13	4	6	3	-1	18
9	Betis	13	5	2	6	-2	17
10	Levante	15	4	4	7	-4	16
11	Villarreal	13	3	5	5	-4	14
12	Valladolid	14	3	5	6	-9	14
13	Sevilla	14	3	4	7	-3	13
14	Ath Bilbao	13	2	6	5	-6	12
15	Vallecano	13	3	1	9	-10	10
16	Celta	13	2	3	8	-9	9
17	Espanol	14	1	6	7	-9	9
18	Eibar	13	1	6	6	-11	9
19	Leganes	14	2	3	9	-12	9
20	Huesca	14	2	3	9	-14	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.