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Ligue 1

Referee: R Buquet

Monaco

S S U U S

0–1

Full-time

Caen

U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Caen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,5

0,5

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 17%

24%

10%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

45%

Both score Ø 54%

55%

52%

Average goals

2,6

2,3

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%

24 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 2

9 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

13 Corners 0

2 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Monaco 16. · Caen 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	28	25	2	1	+70	77
2	Lille	29	17	6	6	+21	57
3	Lyon	30	16	8	6	+16	56
4	Marseille	30	14	6	10	+7	48
5	St Etienne	29	13	7	9	+7	46
6	Reims	29	11	13	5	+4	46
7	Montpellier	29	10	12	7	+6	42
8	Rennes	29	11	8	10	+2	41
9	Nice	29	11	8	10	-8	41
10	Strasbourg	29	9	12	8	+10	39
11	Angers	30	8	13	9	+0	37
12	Nimes	28	10	7	11	-2	37
13	Bordeaux	29	8	10	11	-3	34
14	Toulouse	29	7	11	11	-15	32
15	Nantes	28	8	7	13	-4	31
16	Monaco	29	7	9	13	-14	30
17	Amiens	29	8	5	16	-19	29
18	Guingamp	29	5	7	17	-32	22
19	Dijon	29	5	6	18	-25	21
20	Caen	29	3	11	15	-21	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	15	15	0	0	+47	45
2	Lyon	15	10	3	2	+16	33
3	Marseille	15	9	4	2	+16	31
4	Lille	15	9	4	2	+16	31
5	St Etienne	14	9	2	3	+12	29
6	Reims	15	7	6	2	+6	27
7	Rennes	15	7	4	4	+7	25
8	Bordeaux	15	6	6	3	+4	24
9	Nice	14	7	3	4	+0	24
10	Montpellier	14	5	6	3	+7	21
11	Strasbourg	14	5	6	3	+6	21
12	Angers	15	5	6	4	+3	21
13	Nimes	14	5	5	4	+5	20
14	Nantes	13	5	4	4	+7	19
15	Amiens	14	6	1	7	-3	19
16	Toulouse	14	3	7	4	-3	16
17	Monaco	15	3	5	7	-10	14
18	Guingamp	15	3	4	8	-9	13
19	Dijon	14	3	3	8	-13	12
20	Caen	15	2	5	8	-11	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	13	10	2	1	+23	32
2	Lille	14	8	2	4	+5	26
3	Lyon	15	6	5	4	+0	23
4	Montpellier	15	5	6	4	-1	21
5	Reims	14	4	7	3	-2	19
6	Strasbourg	15	4	6	5	+4	18
7	St Etienne	15	4	5	6	-5	17
8	Nimes	14	5	2	7	-7	17
9	Nice	15	4	5	6	-8	17
10	Marseille	15	5	2	8	-9	17
11	Angers	15	3	7	5	-3	16
12	Monaco	14	4	4	6	-4	16
13	Rennes	14	4	4	6	-5	16
14	Toulouse	15	4	4	7	-12	16
15	Nantes	15	3	3	9	-11	12
16	Bordeaux	14	2	4	8	-7	10
17	Amiens	15	2	4	9	-16	10
18	Caen	14	1	6	7	-10	9
19	Dijon	15	2	3	10	-12	9
20	Guingamp	14	2	3	9	-23	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.