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Serie A
Referee: Gianluca Rocchi
Juventus
T S U S T
2–1
Full-time
Torino
S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
This season — Serie A · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 35%
30%
40%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
30%
70%
Both score Ø 60%
50%
70%
Average goals
2,0
3,1
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
17 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 3
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Juventus 12. · Torino 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Roma 10 7 2 1 +13 23
2 Napoli 10 6 3 1 +13 21
3 Fiorentina 10 7 0 3 +10 21
4 Inter 10 6 3 1 +3 21
5 Sassuolo 10 5 3 2 +3 18
6 Lazio 10 6 0 4 +0 18
7 Atalanta 10 5 2 3 +2 17
8 Milan 10 5 1 4 -3 16
9 Sampdoria 10 4 3 3 +4 15
10 Torino 10 4 3 3 +1 15
11 Chievo 10 3 3 4 +3 12
12 Juventus 10 3 3 4 +2 12
13 Empoli 10 3 2 5 -4 11
14 Palermo 10 3 2 5 -4 11
15 Udinese 10 3 2 5 -4 11
16 Genoa 10 3 2 5 -4 11
17 Frosinone 10 3 1 6 -4 10
18 Bologna 10 2 0 8 -9 6
19 Verona 10 0 5 5 -9 5
20 Carpi 10 1 2 7 -13 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Juventus Torino
J. Cuadrado 🔁
↦ S. Khedira
11′
1–0 P. Pogba
J. Cuadrado
19′
21′
🟨 Afriyie Acquah
21′
🟨 Cesare Bovo
Álvaro Morata 🟨
27′
37′
🟨 Daniele Baselli
Half-time 1–1
51′
C. Bovo 1–1
D. Baselli
61′
🔁 D. Zappacosta
↦ C. Molinaro
65′
🔁 M. Benassi
↦ D. Baselli
76′
🟨 Davide Zappacosta
M. Mandžukić 🔁
↦ Álvaro Morata
78′
Paul Pogba 🟨
81′
Alex Sandro 🔁
↦ P. Dybala
87′
88′
🔁 A. Belotti
↦ M. López
90′
🟨 Bruno Peres
2–1 J. Cuadrado
Alex Sandro
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Juventus

1 G. Buffon
15 A. Barzagli D
33 P. Evra D
19 L. Bonucci D
6 S. Khedira M
11 Hernanes M
20 S. Padoin M
8 C. Marchisio M
10 P. Pogba M
9 Álvaro Morata F
21 P. Dybala F
Bench (10)
16 J. Cuadrado
17 M. Mandžukić
12 Alex Sandro
4 M. Cáceres
7 S. Zaza
18 M. Lemina
24 D. Rugani
25 Neto
27 S. Sturaro
38 E. Audero

Torino

1 D. Padelli G
24 E. Moretti D
5 C. Bovo D
3 C. Molinaro D
25 K. Glik D
33 Bruno Peres D
20 G. Vives M
6 A. Acquah M
16 D. Baselli M
11 M. López F
27 F. Quagliarella F
Bench (9)
7 D. Zappacosta
15 M. Benassi
9 A. Belotti
13 L. Castellazzi
21 G. Silva
22 Amauri
23 S. Prcić
28 S. Ichazo
44 V. Pryyma

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Gianluca Rocchi · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,40 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.