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Bundesliga

Referee: Manuel Gräfe

Wolfsburg

T U T S S

2–1

Full-time

Leverkusen

S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Leverkusen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

40%

50%

Both score Ø 40%

50%

30%

Average goals

2,7

2,4

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%

13 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 5

0 Offside 5

0 Free kicks against 0

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Wolfsburg 5. · Leverkusen 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	11	10	1	0	+29	31
2	Dortmund	11	8	2	1	+19	26
3	Schalke 04	11	6	2	3	+1	20
4	M'gladbach	11	6	0	5	+5	18
5	Wolfsburg	10	5	3	2	+3	18
6	Hertha	11	5	2	4	+0	17
7	Leverkusen	10	5	2	3	+0	17
8	FC Ingolstadt 04	11	4	3	4	-2	15
9	FC Koln	11	4	3	4	-4	15
10	Hamburg	10	4	2	4	-4	14
11	Ein Frankfurt	11	3	4	4	-1	13
12	Darmstadt	10	3	4	3	-1	13
13	Mainz	11	4	1	6	-3	13
14	Werder Bremen	11	3	1	7	-7	10
15	Hannover	10	2	2	6	-9	8
16	Hoffenheim	11	1	4	6	-7	7
17	Stuttgart	10	2	1	7	-8	7
18	Augsburg	11	1	3	7	-11	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	6	6	0	0	+21	18
2	Dortmund	5	4	1	0	+13	13
3	Wolfsburg	5	4	1	0	+8	13
4	Schalke 04	6	3	2	1	+1	11
5	Hertha	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Leverkusen	5	3	1	1	+2	10
7	M'gladbach	5	3	0	2	+2	9
8	FC Koln	6	2	3	1	+1	9
9	Ein Frankfurt	5	1	3	1	+0	6
10	Mainz	6	2	0	4	-3	6
11	Hamburg	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Darmstadt	6	1	2	3	-4	5
13	Augsburg	6	1	1	4	-4	4
14	FC Ingolstadt 04	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Hannover	5	1	0	4	-5	3
16	Stuttgart	5	1	0	4	-7	3
17	Werder Bremen	6	1	0	5	-9	3
18	Hoffenheim	5	0	2	3	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Dortmund	6	4	1	1	+6	13
3	FC Ingolstadt 04	6	3	2	1	+2	11
4	M'gladbach	6	3	0	3	+3	9
5	Schalke 04	5	3	0	2	+0	9
6	Hamburg	6	3	0	3	-4	9
7	Darmstadt	4	2	2	0	+3	8
8	Werder Bremen	5	2	1	2	+2	7
9	Mainz	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Ein Frankfurt	6	2	1	3	-1	7
11	Leverkusen	5	2	1	2	-2	7
12	Hertha	6	2	1	3	-3	7
13	FC Koln	5	2	0	3	-5	6
14	Hoffenheim	6	1	2	3	-3	5
15	Hannover	5	1	2	2	-4	5
16	Wolfsburg	5	1	2	2	-5	5
17	Stuttgart	5	1	1	3	-1	4
18	Augsburg	5	0	2	3	-7	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.