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Premier League
Referee: Kevin Friend
Swansea
U T U T S
0–3
Full-time
Arsenal
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Swansea Arsenal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
0,8
2,5
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,7
This season — Premier League · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 50%
30%
70%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 45%
60%
30%
Average goals
2,4
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
7 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
5 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Swansea 12. · Arsenal 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 10 7 1 2 +16 22
2 Arsenal 10 7 1 2 +10 22
3 West Ham 10 6 2 2 +9 20
4 Man United 10 6 2 2 +7 20
5 Leicester 10 5 4 1 +3 19
6 Tottenham 10 4 5 1 +8 17
7 Liverpool 11 4 5 2 +0 17
8 Crystal Palace 10 5 0 5 +1 15
9 Southampton 10 3 5 2 +3 14
10 West Brom 10 4 2 4 -3 14
11 Everton 10 3 4 3 +0 13
12 Swansea 10 3 4 3 +0 13
13 Watford 10 3 4 3 -2 13
14 Stoke 10 3 3 4 -3 12
15 Chelsea 11 3 2 6 -6 11
16 Norwich 10 2 3 5 -7 9
17 Bournemouth 10 2 2 6 -10 8
18 Sunderland 10 1 3 6 -8 6
19 Newcastle 10 1 3 6 -10 6
20 Aston Villa 10 1 1 8 -8 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Swansea Arsenal
Half-time 0–1
49′
O. Giroud 0–1
M. Özil
Sung-Yueng Ki 🟨
57′
68′
L. Koscielny 0–2
73′
J. Campbell 0–3
M. Özil
M. Barrow 🔁
↦ J. Montero
79′
84′
🔁 K. Gibbs
↦ J. Campbell
84′
🔁 C. Chambers
↦ O. Giroud
L. Britton 🔁
↦ Sung-Yong Ki
85′
Éder 🔁
↦ B. Gomis
85′
Ashley Williams 🟨
89′
93′
🔁 A. Iwobi
↦ M. Özil
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Swansea

1 Ł. Fabiański G
26 K. Naughton D
3 N. Taylor D
6 A. Williams D
33 F. Fernández D
4 Sung-Yong Ki M
8 J. Shelvey M
23 G. Sigurðsson M
18 B. Gomis F
10 A. Ayew M
20 J. Montero M
Bench (7)
58 M. Barrow
7 L. Britton
17 Éder
13 K. Nordfeldt
22 Àngel Rangel
24 J. Cork
27 K. Bartley

Arsenal

33 P. Čech G
4 P. Mertesacker D
18 Nacho Monreal D
6 L. Koscielny D
24 Bellerín D
11 M. Özil M
19 Cazorla M
34 F. Coquelin M
17 A. Sánchez M
12 O. Giroud F
28 J. Campbell M
Bench (7)
3 K. Gibbs
21 C. Chambers
45 A. Iwobi
2 M. Debuchy
5 Gabriel Paulista
20 M. Flamini
49 M. Macey

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Kevin Friend · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.