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Serie A

Referee: Marco Guida

Bologna

T T T S T

3–0

Full-time

Atalanta

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Atalanta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,2

This season — Serie A · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 35%

20%

50%

Points per game

0,6

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

40%

50%

Both score Ø 40%

40%

Average goals

2,1

2,4

Scored

0,6

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%

10 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

0 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bologna 18. · Atalanta 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fiorentina	11	8	0	3	+13	24
2	Inter	11	7	3	1	+4	24
3	Roma	11	7	2	2	+12	23
4	Napoli	10	6	3	1	+13	21
5	Sassuolo	10	5	3	2	+3	18
6	Lazio	10	6	0	4	+0	18
7	Atalanta	10	5	2	3	+2	17
8	Milan	10	5	1	4	-3	16
9	Sampdoria	10	4	3	3	+4	15
10	Juventus	11	4	3	4	+3	15
11	Torino	11	4	3	4	+0	15
12	Chievo	10	3	3	4	+3	12
13	Empoli	10	3	2	5	-4	11
14	Palermo	10	3	2	5	-4	11
15	Udinese	10	3	2	5	-4	11
16	Genoa	10	3	2	5	-4	11
17	Frosinone	11	3	1	7	-7	10
18	Bologna	10	2	0	8	-9	6
19	Verona	10	0	5	5	-9	5
20	Carpi	10	1	2	7	-13	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fiorentina	6	5	0	1	+10	15
2	Lazio	5	5	0	0	+10	15
3	Sampdoria	6	4	2	0	+9	14
4	Roma	5	4	1	0	+9	13
5	Napoli	5	4	1	0	+9	13
6	Atalanta	5	4	1	0	+7	13
7	Inter	6	4	1	1	+1	13
8	Milan	5	4	0	1	+0	12
9	Torino	5	3	2	0	+5	11
10	Juventus	6	3	2	1	+4	11
11	Sassuolo	5	3	2	0	+3	11
12	Frosinone	5	3	0	2	+2	9
13	Genoa	4	3	0	1	+2	9
14	Chievo	5	2	1	2	+3	7
15	Empoli	5	2	1	2	+0	7
16	Palermo	5	1	2	2	-2	5
17	Udinese	5	1	1	3	-2	4
18	Carpi	5	1	1	3	-2	4
19	Verona	5	0	3	2	-3	3
20	Bologna	5	1	0	4	-3	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	5	3	2	0	+3	11
2	Roma	6	3	1	2	+3	10
3	Fiorentina	5	3	0	2	+3	9
4	Napoli	5	2	2	1	+4	8
5	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	+0	7
6	Udinese	5	2	1	2	-2	7
7	Palermo	5	2	0	3	-2	6
8	Chievo	5	1	2	2	+0	5
9	Juventus	5	1	1	3	-1	4
10	Milan	5	1	1	3	-3	4
11	Empoli	5	1	1	3	-4	4
12	Torino	6	1	1	4	-5	4
13	Atalanta	5	1	1	3	-5	4
14	Bologna	5	1	0	4	-6	3
15	Lazio	5	1	0	4	-10	3
16	Genoa	6	0	2	4	-6	2
17	Verona	5	0	2	3	-6	2
18	Sampdoria	4	0	1	3	-5	1
19	Frosinone	6	0	1	5	-9	1
20	Carpi	5	0	1	4	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.