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Ligue 1
Referee: Bartolomeu Varela Teles
Monaco
S U U U S
1–0
Full-time
Angers
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Angers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,5
1,3
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 46%
36%
55%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
45%
27%
Both score Ø 50%
64%
36%
Average goals
2,7
1,6
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,4
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
13 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Monaco 9. · Angers 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 12 10 2 0 +20 32
2 Lyon 12 6 4 2 +9 22
3 Angers 11 6 4 1 +6 22
4 St Etienne 12 7 1 4 +3 22
5 Caen 12 7 0 5 -1 21
6 Nice 11 5 3 3 +10 18
7 Lorient 12 4 5 3 +1 17
8 Rennes 12 4 5 3 +1 17
9 Monaco 11 4 5 2 +0 17
10 Nantes 10 5 1 4 -1 16
11 Guingamp 12 4 4 4 -3 16
12 Reims 12 4 3 5 -1 15
13 Bordeaux 12 3 5 4 -4 14
14 Bastia 12 4 1 7 -5 13
15 Marseille 11 3 3 5 +4 12
16 Lille 12 2 6 4 -1 12
17 Montpellier 12 2 3 7 -6 9
18 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 12 2 3 7 -7 9
19 Toulouse 12 1 6 5 -9 9
20 Troyes 12 0 4 8 -16 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Monaco Angers
Lacina Traoré 🟨
26′
1–0 M. Pašalić
35′
Elderson Echiejile 🟨
40′
João Moutinho 🟨
40′
45′
🟨 Abdoul Camara
Half-time 1–0
58′
🟨 Cheikh N'Doye
63′
🟨 Yoann Andreu
70′
🔁 P. Capelle
↦ G. Sunu
75′
🟨 Romain Thomas
Boschilia 🔁
↦ Rony Lopes
78′
78′
🔁 G. Karanović
↦ V. Ketkeophomphone
G. Carrillo 🔁
↦ L. Traoré
82′
83′
🔁 C. Diers
↦ R. Saïss
Hélder Costa 🔁
↦ S. El Shaarawy
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Monaco

1 D. Subašić G
6 Ricardo Carvalho
24 A. Raggi D
21 U. Echiejile D
2 Fabinho M
28 J. Toulalan D
8 João Moutinho M
25 Rony Lopes M
20 M. Pašalić M
19 L. Traoré F
22 S. El Shaarawy F
Bench (7)
29 Boschilia
11 G. Carrillo
18 Hélder Costa
38 A. Touré
16 P. Nardi
47 K. N'Doram
34 Gil Dias

Angers

1 L. Butelle G
24 R. Thomas D
8 I. Traoré D
21 Y. Andreu D
5 T. Mangani M
29 V. Manceau D
9 Abdoul Camara M
17 C. N'Doye M
28 R. Saïss M
10 G. Sunu F
14 V. Ketkeophomphone F
Bench (7)
15 P. Capelle
22 G. Karanović
20 C. Diers
30 A. Letellier
2 G. Angoula
7 O. Auriac
3 A. Bouka Moutou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Bartolomeu Varela Teles · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
13,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.