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Pro League

Anderlecht

S U S U U

2–0

Full-time

Royal Excel Mouscron

U U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Royal Excel Mouscron

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

1,8

3,3

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,7

This season — Pro League · 8/10 matches

Win Ø 47%

63%

30%

Points per game

2,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

25%

80%

Both score Ø 65%

50%

80%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

1,6

Conceded

0,6

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Anderlecht 5. · Royal Excel Mouscron 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	10	7	1	2	+17	22
2	Oostende	9	6	3	0	+11	21
3	Gent	9	6	3	0	+10	21
4	St Truiden	12	6	1	5	+1	19
5	Anderlecht	8	5	3	0	+8	18
6	Waregem	8	5	0	3	+5	15
7	Genk	9	5	0	4	-1	15
8	Charleroi	9	3	4	2	+2	13
9	Royal Excel Mouscron	10	3	3	4	+0	12
10	Mechelen	11	3	3	5	-4	12
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	14	3	3	8	-9	12
12	Beveren	11	4	0	7	-9	12
13	Westerlo	14	2	5	7	-11	11
14	Lokeren	12	3	1	8	-6	10
15	Standard	11	3	1	7	-12	10
16	Kortrijk	9	1	5	3	-2	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	5	5	0	0	+16	15
2	St Truiden	6	4	1	1	+3	13
3	Oostende	4	4	0	0	+6	12
4	Genk	6	4	0	2	+1	12
5	Mechelen	5	3	1	1	+4	10
6	Charleroi	7	2	4	1	+3	10
7	Anderlecht	4	3	1	0	+3	10
8	Waregem	3	3	0	0	+8	9
9	Gent	3	2	1	0	+4	7
10	Kortrijk	5	1	4	0	+1	7
11	Standard	6	2	1	3	-1	7
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	7	2	1	4	-4	7
13	Royal Excel Mouscron	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Westerlo	7	1	2	4	-8	5
15	Beveren	5	1	0	4	-7	3
16	Lokeren	5	0	0	5	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gent	6	4	2	0	+6	14
2	Lokeren	7	3	1	3	-1	10
3	Oostende	5	2	3	0	+5	9
4	Beveren	6	3	0	3	-2	9
5	Anderlecht	4	2	2	0	+5	8
6	Royal Excel Mouscron	5	2	1	2	+2	7
7	Club Brugge	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	St Truiden	6	2	0	4	-2	6
9	Westerlo	7	1	3	3	-3	6
10	Waregem	5	2	0	3	-3	6
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	7	1	2	4	-5	5
12	Charleroi	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Genk	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Standard	5	1	0	4	-11	3
15	Mechelen	6	0	2	4	-8	2
16	Kortrijk	4	0	1	3	-3	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.