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Serie A
Referee: Andrea Gervasoni
Torino
S S U T T
0–1
Full-time
Empoli
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Empoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
This season — Serie A · 17/18 matches
Win Ø 40%
35%
44%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
53%
50%
Both score Ø 55%
59%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
19 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 1
6 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Torino 14. · Empoli 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 19 12 3 4 +12 39
2 Napoli 18 11 5 2 +19 38
3 Fiorentina 19 12 2 5 +18 38
4 Juventus 18 11 3 4 +17 36
5 Roma 19 9 7 3 +14 34
6 Sassuolo 18 8 7 3 +6 31
7 Milan 19 8 5 6 +2 29
8 Empoli 18 8 3 7 +0 27
9 Lazio 19 8 3 8 -4 27
10 Atalanta 18 7 3 8 -1 24
11 Udinese 19 7 3 9 -9 24
12 Chievo 18 6 5 7 +3 23
13 Sampdoria 18 6 5 7 -1 23
14 Torino 17 6 4 7 +0 22
15 Bologna 18 7 1 10 -4 22
16 Palermo 18 5 3 10 -11 18
17 Genoa 18 4 4 10 -9 16
18 Frosinone 18 4 3 11 -17 15
19 Carpi 19 3 5 11 -17 14
20 Verona 18 0 8 10 -18 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Torino Empoli
Cristian Molinaro 🟨
20′
26′
🟨 Marcel Büchel
32′
🟨 Marko Livaja
Andrea Belotti 🟨
35′
45′
🟨 Massimo Maccarone
Half-time 0–0
51′
🔁 D. Croce
↦ M. Büchel
51′
🔁 M. Pucciarelli
↦ M. Livaja
56′
M. Maccarone 0–1
D. Zappacosta 🔁
↦ C. Molinaro
60′
62′
🟨 Federico Barba
66′
🟨 Leandro Paredes
M. López 🔁
↦ A. Belotti
69′
G. Vives 🔁
↦ M. Benassi
81′
86′
🔁 A. Piu
↦ M. Maccarone
Davide Zappacosta 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Vincent Laurini
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Torino

1 D. Padelli G
24 E. Moretti D
3 C. Molinaro D
25 K. Glik D
19 N. Maksimović D
33 Bruno Peres D
14 A. Gazzi M
16 D. Baselli M
15 M. Benassi M
17 J. Martínez F
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (11)
7 D. Zappacosta
11 M. López
20 G. Vives
5 C. Bovo
13 L. Castellazzi
18 P. Jansson
21 G. Silva
23 S. Prcić
26 Danilo Avelar
27 F. Quagliarella
28 S. Ichazo

Empoli

28 L. Skorupski
15 A. Costa D
21 Mário Rui D
2 V. Laurini D
19 F. Barba D
77 M. Büchel M
5 R. Saponara M
17 P. Zielinski M
32 L. Paredes M
7 M. Maccarone F
39 M. Livaja F
Bench (12)
11 D. Croce
20 M. Pucciarelli
22 A. Piu
1 M. Pugliesi
3 M. Zambelli
6 L. Bittante
13 R. Maiello
14 A. El Hadji
23 A. Pelagotti
24 U. Ćosić
31 M. Camporese
33 R. Krunić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Andrea Gervasoni · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
1,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.