La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sociedad
Valencia
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | +29 | 42 |
| 2 |
Ath Madrid
|
18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | +17 | 41 |
| 3 |
Real Madrid
|
19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | +34 | 40 |
| 4 |
Villarreal
|
19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | +10 | 39 |
| 5 |
Celta
|
18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | +3 | 31 |
| 6 |
Sevilla
|
19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | +5 | 29 |
| 7 |
Ath Bilbao
|
19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | +5 | 28 |
| 8 |
Eibar
|
18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | +6 | 27 |
| 9 |
La Coruna
|
19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | +3 | 27 |
| 10 |
Valencia
|
18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | +6 | 23 |
| 11 |
Malaga
|
18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -1 | 23 |
| 12 |
Getafe
|
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | -6 | 23 |
| 13 |
Espanol
|
18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | -12 | 21 |
| 14 |
Betis
|
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | -15 | 20 |
| 15 |
Sociedad
|
18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -7 | 17 |
| 16 |
Las Palmas
|
18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -8 | 17 |
| 17 |
Granada
|
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -16 | 17 |
| 18 |
Sp Gijon
|
18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -13 | 15 |
| 19 |
Vallecano
|
19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -22 | 15 |
| 20 |
Levante
|
19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -18 | 14 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
G. Rulli
G
Yuri
D
Aritz Elustondo
D
Bruma
M
João Cancelo
D
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Vallecano
Sociedad
Real Madrid
Sociedad
Sociedad
Villarreal
Getafe
Sociedad
Sociedad
Eibar
Alejandro Hernandez · 223 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.