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La Liga
Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano
Villarreal
S S S S S
2–0
Full-time
Sp Gijon
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
0,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,2
This season — La Liga · 18/17 matches
Win Ø 43%
61%
24%
Points per game
2,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
44%
59%
Both score Ø 49%
50%
47%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,3
0,9
Conceded
0,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
7 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 9
1 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Villarreal 4. · Sp Gijon 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 18 13 3 2 +29 42
2 Ath Madrid 18 13 2 3 +17 41
3 Real Madrid 19 12 4 3 +34 40
4 Villarreal 18 11 3 4 +8 36
5 Celta 18 9 4 5 +3 31
6 Sevilla 19 8 5 6 +5 29
7 Ath Bilbao 19 8 4 7 +5 28
8 Eibar 18 7 6 5 +6 27
9 La Coruna 19 6 9 4 +3 27
10 Valencia 18 5 8 5 +6 23
11 Malaga 18 6 5 7 -1 23
12 Getafe 19 6 5 8 -6 23
13 Espanol 18 6 3 9 -12 21
14 Betis 19 5 5 9 -15 20
15 Sociedad 18 4 5 9 -7 17
16 Las Palmas 18 4 5 9 -8 17
17 Granada 19 4 5 10 -16 17
18 Sp Gijon 17 4 3 10 -11 15
19 Vallecano 19 4 3 12 -22 15
20 Levante 19 3 5 11 -18 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Villarreal Sp Gijon
1–0 C. Bakambu
Soldado
26′
39′
🔁 Jorge Meré
↦ B. Espinosa
Half-time 2–0
2–0 C. Bakambu
Soldado
51′
Bruno Soriano 🟨
53′
Víctor Ruiz 🟨
61′
64′
🔁 Jony
↦ Carlos Carmona
Samu 🔁
↦ Trigueros
66′
69′
🔁 Guerrero
↦ Isma López
Léo Baptistão 🔁
↦ C. Bakambu
71′
Tomás Pina 🔁
↦ J. dos Santos
78′
Samu García 🟨
79′
Roberto Soldado 🟨
87′
87′
🟨 Nacho Cases
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Villarreal

13 A. Areola G
5 M. Musacchio D
2 Mario Gaspar D
6 Víctor Ruíz D
27 Adrián Marín D
21 Bruno M
8 J. dos Santos M
18 Denis Suárez M
14 Trigueros M
9 Soldado F
17 C. Bakambu F
Bench (7)
7 Samu
10 Léo Baptistão
4 Tomás Pina
19 Samu Castillejo
22 A. Rukavina
24 E. Bailly
25 M. Barbosa

Sp Gijon

1 Pichu Cuéllar G
5 B. Espinosa D
11 Lora D
2 Luis Hernández D
3 Álex Menéndez D
18 Isma López M
10 Nacho Cases M
17 Omar Mascarell M
25 A. Halilović M
19 Carlos Carmona M
20 A. Sanabria F
Bench (7)
28 Jorge Meré
23 Jony
9 Guerrero
13 Alberto García
22 Pablo Pérez
24 R. Aït-Atmane
33 D. N'Di

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jesus Gil Manzano · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.