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Eliteserien
Referee: K Steen
Lillestrom
S T T U T
3–0
Full-time
Stabaek
S U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Stabaek
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
2,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,8
This season — Eliteserien · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 30%
43%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
61%
70%
Both score Ø 66%
70%
61%
Average goals
2,9
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,4
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
20 Shots 15
9 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
11 Corners 3
4 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 5
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 6. · Stabaek 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 23 14 6 3 +26 48
2 Molde 23 14 5 4 +31 47
3 Rosenborg 23 12 5 6 +19 41
4 Viking 23 12 5 6 +6 41
5 Kristiansund 23 12 3 8 +2 39
6 Lillestrom 23 10 5 8 +1 35
7 Valerenga 23 8 10 5 +7 34
8 Haugesund 23 9 4 10 +4 31
9 Stromsgodset 23 8 6 9 +0 30
10 Odd 23 7 7 9 -9 28
11 Sarpsborg 08 23 7 5 11 -10 26
12 Sandefjord 23 7 5 11 -13 26
13 Tromso 23 6 7 10 -12 25
14 Brann 23 4 8 11 -14 20
15 Stabaek 23 4 6 13 -21 18
16 Mjondalen 23 2 9 12 -17 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Stabaek
32′
🔁 K. Pedersen
↦ S. Wangberg
38′
🟨 Fredrik Haugen
Half-time 1–0
1–0 E. Garnås
P. Helland
56′
2–0 T. Olsen
E. Edh
63′
67′
🔁 M. Bolly
↦ O. Edvardsen
L. Ranger 🔁
↦ E. Edh
68′
F. Krogstad 🔁
↦ I. Mathew
68′
Tobias Hammer Svendsen 🟨
69′
U. Mathisen 🔁
↦ P. Helland
75′
80′
🔁 Tomás Podstawski
↦ K. Hansen
80′
🔁 F. Azemi
↦ P. Kirkevold
80′
🔁 M. Solbakken
↦ F. Haugen
3–0 T. Olsen
V. Dragsnes
83′
H. Skogvold 🔁
↦ T. Svendsen
86′
J. Braut-Brunes 🔁
↦ T. Olsen
86′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Lillestrom

3-4-3
12 M. Christiansen G
24 T. Pettersson D
4 E. Garnås D
5 V. Dragsnes M
22 P. Slørdahl D
8 I. Mathew M
21 M. Knudsen M
25 E. Edh M
7 P. Helland F
10 T. Olsen F
11 T. Svendsen F
Bench (9)
26 L. Ranger
14 F. Krogstad
18 U. Mathisen
33 H. Skogvold
17 J. Braut-Brunes
15 J. Baccay
3 S. Mikalsen
1 K. Skjærstein
23 G. Åsen

Coach: G. Bakke

Stabaek

5-4-1
12 M. Sandberg G
4 S. Wangberg D
19 V. Wernersson D
5 I. Mesík D
27 N. Jenssen D
15 S. Ottesen D
8 F. Haugen M
11 K. Hansen M
24 K. Kostadinov M
9 P. Kirkevold F
23 O. Edvardsen M
Bench (9)
2 K. Pedersen
7 M. Bolly
26 Tomás Podstawski
17 F. Azemi
10 M. Solbakken
18 J. Moe
1 M. Ulla
16 M. Høyland
22 S. Skytte

Coach: E. Kjønø

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Steen · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.