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Eliteserien
Referee: Kai Erik Steen
Lillestrom
T U U U T
1–3
Full-time
Stabaek
U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Stabaek
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
1,7
1,2
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
1,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 28%
26%
30%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
52%
41%
Both score Ø 47%
52%
41%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

58% Possession 42%
25 Shots 18
9 Shots on target 10
5 Blocked shots 4
7 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 6
1 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 11. · Stabaek 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 27 18 5 4 +33 59
2 Bodo/Glimt 27 14 9 4 +20 51
3 Odd 28 14 7 7 +7 49
4 Rosenborg 27 12 9 6 +10 45
5 Viking 28 12 7 9 +9 43
6 Brann 28 10 10 8 +5 40
7 Kristiansund 27 10 8 9 +0 38
8 Haugesund 28 8 12 8 +4 36
9 Valerenga 27 8 9 10 -2 33
10 Stabaek 27 8 9 10 -2 33
11 Lillestrom 27 7 8 12 -12 29
12 Sarpsborg 08 27 5 13 9 -6 28
13 Tromso 27 8 4 15 -18 28
14 Stromsgodset 27 6 8 13 -16 26
15 Mjondalen 27 4 12 11 -15 24
16 Ranheim 27 6 6 15 -17 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Stabaek
Joonas Tamm 🟨
1′
24′
Ola Brynhildsen 0–1
Kristoffer Askildsen
26′
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen 0–2
Andreas Hanche-Olsen
Half-time 0–2
Daniel Gustafsson 🔁
↦ Kristoffer Odemarksbakken
46′
Marko Marić 🟨
48′
48′
Emil Bohinen
penalty missed
Simen Rafn 🔁
↦ Frode Kippe
58′
64′
Kasper Junker 0–3
66′
🔁 Kosuke Kinoshita
↦ Kasper Junker
75′
🔁 Hugo Vetlesen
↦ Oliver Valaker Edvardsen
Aleksander Melgalvis 🔁
↦ Mats Haakenstad
81′
1–3 Aleksander Melgalvis
90′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Lillestrom

4-4-1-1
1 Marko Marić G
2 Mats Haakenstad D
6 Joonas Tamm D
13 Frode Kippe D
3 Simen Kind Mikalsen D
14 Fredrik Krogstad M
8 Ifeanyi Mathew M
19 Sheriff Sinyan M
17 Kristoffer Odemarksbakken M
88 Arnór Smárason F
10 Thomas Lehne Olsen F
Bench (7)
40 Mads Christiansen
5 Simen Rafn
42 Philip Slordahl
33 Aleksander Melgalvis
15 Erik Brenden
7 Daniel Gustafsson
28 Magnus Knudsen

Coach: J. Lennartsson

Stabaek

4-1-4-1
12 Marcus Sandberg G
2 Ronald Hernández D
3 Yaw Amankwah D
16 Andreas Hanche-Olsen D
18 Jeppe Moe D
8 Emil Bohinen M
23 Oliver Valaker Edvardsen M
6 Luc Kassi M
14 Kristoffer Askildsen M
20 Ola Brynhildsen M
21 Kasper Junker F
Bench (7)
1 Simen Lillevik Kjellevold
5 Steinar Stromnes
30 Peder Vogt
25 Hugo Vetlesen
19 Kosuke Kinoshita
17 Daniel Braaten
10 Youssef Toutouh

Coach: J. Jönsson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Kai Erik Steen · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.