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Serie A
Referee: D Chiffi
Empoli
S S T T S
0–2
Full-time
Inter
S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Empoli Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
4,0
4,0
Scored
1,8
2,5
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
This season — Serie A · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 50%
44%
56%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 78%
67%
89%
Both score Ø 73%
56%
89%
Average goals
3,6
4,0
Scored
1,6
2,7
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

31% Possession 69%
9 Shots 21
3 Shots on target 9
1 Blocked shots 5
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 6
0 Offside 3
20 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Empoli 12. · Inter 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Milan 10 9 1 0 +14 28
2 Napoli 9 8 1 0 +16 25
3 Inter 9 5 3 1 +12 18
4 Atalanta 10 5 3 2 +6 18
5 Roma 9 5 1 3 +7 16
6 Juventus 10 4 3 3 +1 15
7 Fiorentina 9 5 0 4 +1 15
8 Lazio 9 4 2 3 +2 14
9 Sassuolo 10 4 2 4 +1 14
10 Verona 10 3 3 4 +3 12
11 Bologna 9 3 3 3 -4 12
12 Empoli 9 4 0 5 -4 12
13 Torino 10 3 2 5 +1 11
14 Udinese 10 2 5 3 -2 11
15 Sampdoria 10 2 3 5 -6 9
16 Venezia 10 2 2 6 -9 8
17 Spezia 10 2 2 6 -11 8
18 Genoa 10 1 4 5 -7 7
19 Salernitana 10 2 1 7 -12 7
20 Cagliari 9 1 3 5 -9 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Empoli Inter
24′
🟨 Stefan de Vrij
Sebastiano Luperto 🟨
29′
34′
D. D'Ambrosio 0–1
A. Sánchez
Half-time 0–1
Samuele Ricci 🟥
52′
N. Haas 🔁
↦ N. Bajrami
57′
59′
🟨 Marcelo Brozović
66′
F. Dimarco 0–2
Lautaro Martínez
L. Mancuso 🔁
↦ P. Cutrone
67′
L. Henderson 🔁
↦ F. Bandinelli
67′
K. Asllani 🔁
↦ S. Żurkowski
68′
72′
🔁 M. Vecino
↦ M. Brozović
72′
🔁 J. Correa
↦ A. Sánchez
75′
🟨 Roberto Gagliardini
75′
ℹ️ Matías Vecino
VAR: Goal confirmed
80′
🔁 A. Kolarov
↦ S. de Vrij
R. Fiamozzi 🔁
↦ P. Stojanović
82′
84′
🔁 S. Sensi
↦ R. Gagliardini
84′
🔁 E. Džeko
↦ Lautaro Martínez
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Empoli

4-3-1-2
13 G. Vicario G
30 P. Stojanović D
33 S. Luperto D
34 A. Ismajli D
65 F. Parisi D
25 F. Bandinelli M
10 N. Bajrami M
27 S. Żurkowski M
28 S. Ricci M
9 P. Cutrone F
99 A. Pinamonti F
Bench (12)
32 N. Haas
7 L. Mancuso
8 L. Henderson
23 K. Asllani
20 R. Fiamozzi
42 M. Viti
35 T. Baldanzi
1 S. Ujkani
19 A. La Mantia
5 L. Štulac
3 R. Marchizza
26 L. Tonelli

Coach: A. Andreazzoli

Inter

3-5-2
1 S. Handanovič G
36 M. Darmian M
6 S. de Vrij D
33 D. D'Ambrosio D
32 F. Dimarco M
95 A. Bastoni D
77 M. Brozović M
5 R. Gagliardini M
23 N. Barella M
7 A. Sánchez F
10 Lautaro Martínez F
Bench (12)
8 M. Vecino
19 J. Correa
11 A. Kolarov
12 S. Sensi
9 E. Džeko
97 I. Radu
37 M. Škriniar
22 A. Vidal
14 I. Perišić
20 H. Çalhanoğlu
2 D. Dumfries
13 A. Ranocchia

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,94
U
4,76
B ✓
1,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,46
U2,5 ✓
2,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Chiffi · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.