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La Liga

Referee: Antonio Mateu

Vallecano

S S T S T

1–0

Full-time

Barcelona

U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,3

This season — La Liga · 10/9 matches

Win Ø 47%

50%

44%

Points per game

1,6

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

70%

56%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,9

2,8

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

31% Possession 69%

13 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 6

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 7

5 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vallecano 8. · Barcelona 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	10	6	3	1	+5	21
2	Real Madrid	9	6	2	1	+13	20
3	Sevilla	9	6	2	1	+10	20
4	Ath Madrid	9	5	3	1	+5	18
5	Betis	10	5	3	2	+4	18
6	Osasuna	10	5	3	2	+1	18
7	Ath Bilbao	10	4	5	1	+4	17
8	Vallecano	10	5	1	4	+5	16
9	Barcelona	9	4	3	2	+5	15
10	Espanol	11	3	5	3	+0	14
11	Valencia	10	3	4	3	+2	13
12	Villarreal	10	2	6	2	+3	12
13	Mallorca	10	3	3	4	-6	12
14	Celta	10	3	1	6	-2	10
15	Elche	11	2	4	5	-5	10
16	Alaves	10	3	0	7	-8	9
17	Cadiz	11	1	5	5	-8	8
18	Granada	9	1	4	4	-6	7
19	Levante	10	0	5	5	-9	5
20	Getafe	10	0	2	8	-13	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	6	4	1	1	+7	13
2	Sociedad	5	4	1	0	+4	13
3	Vallecano	4	4	0	0	+10	12
4	Sevilla	4	4	0	0	+9	12
5	Espanol	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Ath Bilbao	5	3	1	1	+3	10
7	Ath Madrid	5	2	3	0	+3	9
8	Villarreal	5	2	2	1	+4	8
9	Valencia	5	2	2	1	+3	8
10	Betis	5	2	2	1	+2	8
11	Mallorca	5	2	2	1	+1	8
12	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+8	7
13	Elche	5	1	4	0	+1	7
14	Osasuna	6	1	3	2	-4	6
15	Alaves	6	2	0	4	-5	6
16	Granada	4	1	1	2	-1	4
17	Levante	4	0	3	1	-2	3
18	Celta	5	1	0	4	-3	3
19	Cadiz	6	0	3	3	-5	3
20	Getafe	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	6	4	1	1	+5	13
2	Osasuna	4	4	0	0	+5	12
3	Betis	5	3	1	1	+2	10
4	Ath Madrid	4	3	0	1	+2	9
5	Sociedad	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Sevilla	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Celta	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Ath Bilbao	5	1	4	0	+1	7
9	Valencia	5	1	2	2	-1	5
10	Cadiz	5	1	2	2	-3	5
11	Villarreal	5	0	4	1	-1	4
12	Vallecano	6	1	1	4	-5	4
13	Mallorca	5	1	1	3	-7	4
14	Espanol	5	0	3	2	-3	3
15	Alaves	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Granada	5	0	3	2	-5	3
17	Elche	6	1	0	5	-6	3
18	Barcelona	3	0	2	1	-2	2
19	Levante	6	0	2	4	-7	2
20	Getafe	5	0	1	4	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.