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Serie A
Referee: Piero Giacomelli
Genoa
U T T T S
1–1
Full-time
Roma
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Roma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
This season — Serie A · 13/12 matches
Win Ø 49%
15%
83%
Points per game
0,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
31%
50%
Both score Ø 36%
38%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
0,8
1,9
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

33% Possession 67%
9 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 4
4 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Genoa 18. · Roma 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 14 11 3 0 +18 36
2 Napoli 13 11 2 0 +25 35
3 Juventus 13 10 1 2 +23 31
4 Roma 12 10 0 2 +15 30
5 Lazio 12 9 1 2 +18 28
6 Sampdoria 13 8 2 3 +9 26
7 Bologna 14 6 2 6 +0 20
8 Chievo 14 5 5 4 -4 20
9 Milan 13 6 1 6 +1 19
10 Torino 13 4 6 3 -2 18
11 Fiorentina 13 5 2 6 +4 17
12 Atalanta 13 4 4 5 +1 16
13 Cagliari 14 5 0 9 -11 15
14 Udinese 12 4 0 8 -5 12
15 Crotone 13 3 3 7 -13 12
16 Sassuolo 14 3 2 9 -16 11
17 Spal 14 2 4 8 -11 10
18 Genoa 13 2 3 8 -8 9
19 Verona 14 2 3 9 -17 9
20 Benevento 13 0 0 13 -27 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genoa Roma
44′
🟨 Federico Fazio
Half-time 0–0
47′
🟨 Radja Nainggolan
58′
🔁 G. Defrel
↦ D. Perotti
59′
S. El Shaarawy 0–1
A. Florenzi
G. Lapadula 🔁
↦ G. Pandev
63′
69′
🟥 Daniele De Rossi
1–1 G. Lapadula
70′
71′
🟨 Juan Jesus
Adel Taarabt 🟨
74′
78′
🔁 M. Gonalons
↦ S. El Shaarawy
S. Omeonga 🔁
↦ A. Taarabt
86′
87′
🔁 P. Schick
↦ R. Nainggolan
I. Cofie 🔁
↦ Miguel Veloso
95′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Genoa

3-5-2
1 M. Perin G
20 A. Rosi M
2 N. Spolli D
87 E. Zukanović D
5 A. Izzo D
11 A. Taarabt F
44 Miguel Veloso M
30 L. Rigoni M
8 A. Bertolacci M
93 D. Laxalt M
19 G. Pandev F
Bench (12)
10 G. Lapadula
40 S. Omeonga
4 I. Cofie
3 S. Gentiletti
13 L. Rossettini
14 D. Biraschi
17 R. Palladino
22 D. Lazović
23 E. Lamanna
27 F. Ricci
38 L. Zima
64 P. Pellegri

Coach: D. Ballardini

Roma

4-3-3
1 Alisson G
11 A. Kolarov D
20 F. Fazio D
5 Juan Jesus D
16 D. De Rossi M
4 R. Nainggolan M
6 K. Strootman M
24 A. Florenzi D
9 E. Džeko F
8 D. Perotti F
92 S. El Shaarawy F
Bench (12)
23 G. Defrel
21 M. Gonalons
14 P. Schick
7 Lorenzo Pellegrini
15 H. Moreno
17 C. Ünder
18 B. Lobonț
25 Bruno Peres
28 Ł. Skorupski
30 Gerson
33 Emerson
44 K. Manolas

Coach: E. Di Francesco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Piero Giacomelli · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.