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Bundesliga

Referee: Bastian Dankert

Hamburg

T T T S T

3–0

Full-time

Hoffenheim

U U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Hoffenheim

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

This season — Bundesliga · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 34%

25%

42%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%

19 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 8

3 Offside 0

17 Free kicks against 23

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 16. · Hoffenheim 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	13	9	2	2	+21	29
2	RB Leipzig	13	8	2	3	+7	26
3	Schalke 04	13	7	3	3	+6	24
4	M'gladbach	13	7	3	3	+1	24
5	Dortmund	13	6	3	4	+13	21
6	Leverkusen	13	5	5	3	+8	20
7	Hoffenheim	12	5	5	2	+6	20
8	Augsburg	13	5	4	4	+3	19
9	Ein Frankfurt	13	5	4	4	+1	19
10	Hannover	13	5	4	4	+0	19
11	Stuttgart	13	5	2	6	-3	17
12	Mainz	13	4	3	6	-5	15
13	Wolfsburg	13	2	8	3	-2	14
14	Hertha	12	3	5	4	-3	14
15	Freiburg	13	2	5	6	-16	11
16	Hamburg	12	3	1	8	-10	10
17	Werder Bremen	13	1	5	7	-8	8
18	FC Koln	12	0	2	10	-19	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	6	5	1	0	+16	16
2	RB Leipzig	6	5	1	0	+8	16
3	Stuttgart	6	5	1	0	+7	16
4	Schalke 04	7	4	2	1	+5	14
5	Mainz	7	4	1	2	+3	13
6	M'gladbach	7	4	1	2	+0	13
7	Leverkusen	6	3	3	0	+8	12
8	Hoffenheim	7	3	3	1	+3	12
9	Hannover	6	3	2	1	+4	11
10	Augsburg	7	3	2	2	+3	11
11	Hertha	7	3	2	2	+0	11
12	Dortmund	6	3	1	2	+9	10
13	Freiburg	7	2	4	1	+1	10
14	Wolfsburg	7	1	5	1	-1	8
15	Ein Frankfurt	6	2	1	3	-1	7
16	Hamburg	6	2	1	3	-3	7
17	Werder Bremen	6	1	1	4	-4	4
18	FC Koln	5	0	1	4	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	7	4	1	2	+5	13
2	Ein Frankfurt	7	3	3	1	+2	12
3	Dortmund	7	3	2	2	+4	11
4	M'gladbach	6	3	2	1	+1	11
5	Schalke 04	6	3	1	2	+1	10
6	RB Leipzig	7	3	1	3	-1	10
7	Hoffenheim	5	2	2	1	+3	8
8	Leverkusen	7	2	2	3	+0	8
9	Augsburg	6	2	2	2	+0	8
10	Hannover	7	2	2	3	-4	8
11	Wolfsburg	6	1	3	2	-1	6
12	Werder Bremen	7	0	4	3	-4	4
13	Hertha	5	0	3	2	-3	3
14	Hamburg	6	1	0	5	-7	3
15	Mainz	6	0	2	4	-8	2
16	Stuttgart	7	0	1	6	-10	1
17	FC Koln	7	0	1	6	-12	1
18	Freiburg	6	0	1	5	-17	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.