← Match Finder
Ligue 1
Referee: Amaury Delerue
Marseille
U U S S U
1–0
Full-time
Guingamp
S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Marseille Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,0
2,8
Scored
2,7
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 43%
54%
31%
Points per game
1,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
54%
46%
Both score Ø 54%
54%
54%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
2,1
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

65% Possession 35%
22 Shots 4
7 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Marseille 4. · Guingamp 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 13 11 2 0 +34 35
2 Lyon 14 8 5 1 +22 29
3 Monaco 13 9 2 2 +22 29
4 Marseille 13 7 4 2 +9 25
5 Nantes 14 7 2 5 -2 23
6 Caen 14 7 1 6 -4 22
7 Montpellier 14 5 5 4 +4 20
8 St Etienne 14 5 4 5 -4 19
9 Rennes 14 5 3 6 -1 18
10 Amiens 14 5 3 6 -1 18
11 Troyes 14 5 3 6 -2 18
12 Dijon 14 5 3 6 -3 18
13 Bordeaux 14 4 5 5 -3 17
14 Toulouse 14 4 4 6 -7 16
15 Guingamp 13 4 3 6 -8 15
16 Angers 14 2 8 4 -6 14
17 Strasbourg 14 3 5 6 -9 14
18 Nice 14 4 2 8 -10 14
19 Lille 14 3 3 8 -10 12
20 Metz 14 1 1 12 -21 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Marseille Guingamp
30′
🟨 Franck Tabanou
1–0 F. Thauvin
D. Payet
31′
Half-time 1–0
53′
🔁 N. Benezet
↦ Y. Salibur
68′
🔁 M. Thuram
↦ É. Didot
Dimitri Payet 🟨
71′
L. Ocampos 🔁
↦ D. Payet
72′
Aymen Abdennour 🟨
75′
A. Zambo Anguissa 🔁
↦ M. Sanson
79′
82′
🟨 Felix Eboa Eboa
86′
🔁 M. Coco
↦ Abdoul Camara
H. Sakai 🔁
↦ F. Thauvin
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Marseille

4-2-3-1
30 S. Mandanda G
23 A. Rami D
13 A. Abdennour D
18 J. Amavi D
10 D. Payet M
19 Luiz Gustavo M
17 B. Sarr D
8 M. Sanson M
27 M. Lopez M
11 K. Mitroglou F
26 F. Thauvin M
Bench (7)
5 L. Ocampos
29 A. Zambo Anguissa
2 H. Sakai
6 Rolando
14 C. N'Jie
16 Y. Pelé
28 V. Germain

Coach: R. Garcia

Guingamp

4-3-3
1 K. Johnsson G
22 J. Martins-Pereira D
15 J. Sorbon D
27 F. Tabanou D
29 C. Kerbrat D
20 F. Eboa Eboa D
17 É. Didot M
7 L. Blas M
23 J. Briand F
19 Y. Salibur M
9 Abdoul Camara M
Bench (7)
10 N. Benezet
21 M. Thuram
24 M. Coco
3 Pedro Rebocho
5 M. Diallo
16 M. Caillard
18 L. Phiri

Coach: A. Kombouare

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Amaury Delerue · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.