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Serie A
Referee: Piero Giacomelli
Torino
U U S S S
2–2
Full-time
Lazio
S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Lazio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,0
This season — Serie A · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
75%
38%
Both score Ø 57%
75%
38%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
2,1
1,8
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
16 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Torino 4. · Lazio 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 9 7 0 2 +11 21
2 Milan 9 6 1 2 +5 19
3 Roma 8 5 1 2 +9 16
4 Torino 8 4 2 2 +8 14
5 Napoli 8 4 2 2 +6 14
6 Lazio 8 4 2 2 +6 14
7 Chievo 8 4 1 3 +1 13
8 Cagliari 8 4 1 3 -1 13
9 Genoa 8 3 3 2 +2 12
10 Sassuolo 8 4 0 4 -2 12
11 Inter 8 3 2 3 +0 11
12 Sampdoria 9 3 2 4 -2 11
13 Bologna 8 3 2 3 -3 11
14 Atalanta 8 3 1 4 -2 10
15 Udinese 9 3 1 5 -5 10
16 Fiorentina 7 2 3 2 +0 9
17 Pescara 9 1 4 4 -5 7
18 Palermo 8 1 3 4 -7 6
19 Empoli 8 1 2 5 -9 5
20 Crotone 8 0 1 7 -12 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Torino Lazio
1–0 Iago Falqué
D. Zappacosta
20′
Antonio Barreca 🟨
29′
Half-time 1–0
56′
🔁 F. Đorđević
↦ D. Basta
59′
🟨 Marco Parolo
Andrea Belotti 🟨
61′
71′
C. Immobile 1–1
Felipe Anderson
J. Obi 🔁
↦ D. Baselli
74′
M. López 🔁
↦ M. Benassi
79′
79′
🔁 A. Murgia
↦ B. Keita
84′
A. Murgia 1–2
Felipe Anderson
L. Boyé 🔁
↦ M. Valdifiori
88′
89′
🔁 F. Prce
↦ Felipe Anderson
90′
🟨 Danilo Cataldi
2–2 A. Ljajić
92′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Torino

4-3-3
21 J. Hart G
13 L. Rossettini D
4 Leandro Castán D
7 D. Zappacosta M
23 A. Barreca D
18 M. Valdifiori M
8 D. Baselli M
15 M. Benassi M
10 A. Ljajić M
14 Iago Falqué F
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (12)
22 J. Obi
11 M. López
31 L. Boyé
1 D. Padelli
5 C. Bovo
6 A. Acquah
17 J. Martínez
20 G. Vives
24 E. Moretti
29 L. De Silvestri
90 T. Cucchietti
93 Arlind Ajeti

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Lazio

4-3-3
22 F. Marchetti G
8 D. Basta M
4 Patric D
13 Wallace D
2 W. Hoedt D
19 S. Lulić M
16 M. Parolo M
10 Felipe Anderson M
5 D. Cataldi M
17 C. Immobile F
14 B. Keita F
Bench (9)
9 F. Đorđević
96 A. Murgia
44 F. Prce
1 T. Strakosha
18 Luis Alberto
23 M. Leitner
25 C. Lombardi
28 Vinícius Freitas
55 I. Vargić

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Piero Giacomelli · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.