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Serie A
Referee: Daniele Orsato
Inter
S S U S S
1–1
Full-time
Torino
U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,2
This season — Serie A · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 59%
82%
36%
Points per game
2,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
55%
73%
Both score Ø 55%
55%
55%
Average goals
2,7
3,1
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
20 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
19 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Inter 2. · Torino 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 11 10 1 0 +24 31
2 Inter 11 9 2 0 +14 29
3 Juventus 11 9 1 1 +23 28
4 Lazio 11 9 1 1 +19 28
5 Roma 10 8 0 2 +12 24
6 Sampdoria 11 7 2 2 +11 23
7 Fiorentina 11 5 1 5 +6 16
8 Milan 11 5 1 5 +0 16
9 Torino 11 4 4 3 -2 16
10 Atalanta 11 4 3 4 +3 15
11 Chievo 11 4 3 4 -5 15
12 Bologna 12 4 2 6 -4 14
13 Udinese 11 4 0 7 -4 12
14 Crotone 12 3 3 6 -12 12
15 Cagliari 11 3 0 8 -11 9
16 Spal 11 2 2 7 -10 8
17 Sassuolo 11 2 2 7 -13 8
18 Genoa 12 1 3 8 -9 6
19 Verona 11 1 3 7 -17 6
20 Benevento 11 0 0 11 -25 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Inter Torino
Matías Vecino 🟨
33′
42′
🟨 Nicolás Burdisso
Half-time 0–0
56′
🟨 Tomás Rincón
59′
Iago Falqué 0–1
L. De Silvestri
61′
🟨 Salvatore Sirigu
64′
🟨 Joel Obi
Milan Škriniar 🟨
66′
E. Martins 🔁
↦ R. Gagliardini
69′
73′
🔁 A. Acquah
↦ J. Obi
M. Brozović 🔁
↦ Y. Nagatomo
76′
1–1 E. Martins
M. Icardi
79′
82′
🔁 M. Niang
↦ Iago Falqué
Marcelo Brozović 🟨
83′
88′
🟨 Afriyie Acquah
89′
🔁 Álex Berenguer
↦ A. Ljajić
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Inter

4-2-3-1
1 S. Handanovič G
25 João Miranda D
55 Y. Nagatomo D
33 D. D'Ambrosio D
37 M. Škriniar D
44 I. Perišić M
87 A. Candreva M
20 Borja Valero M
11 M. Vecino M
5 R. Gagliardini M
9 M. Icardi F
Bench (10)
23 E. Martins
77 M. Brozović
7 João Cancelo
10 João Mário
13 A. Ranocchia
17 Y. Karamoh
21 D. Santon
27 D. Padelli
29 Dalbert Henrique
46 T. Berni

Coach: L. Spalletti

Torino

4-3-3
39 S. Sirigu G
13 N. Burdisso D
29 L. De Silvestri M
15 C. Ansaldi M
33 N. N'Koulou D
88 T. Rincón M
22 J. Obi M
8 D. Baselli M
10 A. Ljajić M
14 Iago Falqué F
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (12)
6 A. Acquah
11 M. Niang
21 Álex Berenguer
1 S. Ichazo
3 C. Molinaro
5 M. Valdifiori
16 Samuel Gustafson
20 S. Edera
24 E. Moretti
31 L. Boyé
32 V. Savić
97 Lyanco

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Daniele Orsato · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.