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Serie A

Referee: Paolo Silvio Mazzoleni

Sampdoria

T S S S T

1–2

Full-time

Lazio

S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Lazio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

4,2

3,3

Scored

2,7

2,3

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+1,3

This season — Serie A · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 66%

62%

69%

Points per game

2,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 81%

77%

85%

Both score Ø 66%

54%

77%

Average goals

3,5

3,7

Scored

2,1

2,5

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%

16 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 6

1 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sampdoria 6. · Lazio 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	15	12	3	0	+23	39
2	Napoli	15	12	2	1	+25	38
3	Juventus	15	12	1	2	+27	37
4	Roma	14	11	1	2	+17	34
5	Lazio	13	9	2	2	+18	29
6	Sampdoria	13	8	2	3	+9	26
7	Fiorentina	15	6	3	6	+7	21
8	Milan	15	6	3	6	+1	21
9	Bologna	15	6	3	6	+0	21
10	Atalanta	15	5	5	5	+2	20
11	Torino	15	4	8	3	-2	20
12	Chievo	15	5	5	5	-9	20
13	Cagliari	15	5	1	9	-11	16
14	Udinese	13	4	0	9	-6	12
15	Crotone	14	3	3	8	-16	12
16	Sassuolo	15	3	2	10	-19	11
17	Genoa	14	2	4	8	-8	10
18	Spal	15	2	4	9	-13	10
19	Verona	14	2	3	9	-17	9
20	Benevento	15	0	1	14	-28	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	8	7	1	0	+15	22
2	Juventus	8	7	0	1	+17	21
3	Sampdoria	6	6	0	0	+14	18
4	Roma	8	6	0	2	+7	18
5	Atalanta	8	5	2	1	+9	17
6	Napoli	7	5	1	1	+13	16
7	Fiorentina	7	4	1	2	+5	13
8	Lazio	6	3	2	1	+8	11
9	Milan	7	3	2	2	+0	11
10	Chievo	7	3	2	2	-1	11
11	Torino	7	2	4	1	+3	10
12	Bologna	8	2	3	3	-1	9
13	Udinese	8	3	0	5	-2	9
14	Cagliari	7	3	0	4	-3	9
15	Spal	7	2	2	3	-2	8
16	Crotone	7	2	2	3	-3	8
17	Verona	7	1	1	5	-11	4
18	Genoa	7	0	2	5	-7	2
19	Sassuolo	7	0	2	5	-8	2
20	Benevento	8	0	1	7	-15	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	8	7	1	0	+12	22
2	Lazio	7	6	0	1	+10	18
3	Inter	7	5	2	0	+8	17
4	Juventus	7	5	1	1	+10	16
5	Roma	6	5	1	0	+10	16
6	Bologna	7	4	0	3	+1	12
7	Milan	8	3	1	4	+1	10
8	Torino	8	2	4	2	-5	10
9	Chievo	8	2	3	3	-8	9
10	Sassuolo	8	3	0	5	-11	9
11	Fiorentina	8	2	2	4	+2	8
12	Genoa	7	2	2	3	-1	8
13	Sampdoria	7	2	2	3	-5	8
14	Cagliari	8	2	1	5	-8	7
15	Verona	7	1	2	4	-6	5
16	Crotone	7	1	1	5	-13	4
17	Udinese	5	1	0	4	-4	3
18	Atalanta	7	0	3	4	-7	3
19	Spal	8	0	2	6	-11	2
20	Benevento	7	0	0	7	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.