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Serie A
Referee: Rosario Abisso
Napoli
T U S S S
2–0
Full-time
Verona
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Napoli Verona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
This season — Serie A · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 48%
79%
16%
Points per game
2,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
63%
74%
Both score Ø 45%
47%
42%
Average goals
2,9
3,0
Scored
2,2
0,9
Conceded
0,7
2,1
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

70% Possession 30%
24 Shots 3
9 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 1
4 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Napoli 1. · Verona 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 19 15 3 1 +29 48
2 Juventus 19 15 2 2 +33 47
3 Inter 20 12 6 2 +20 42
4 Roma 18 12 3 3 +17 39
5 Lazio 18 11 4 3 +21 37
6 Sampdoria 18 9 3 6 +8 30
7 Fiorentina 20 7 7 6 +8 28
8 Udinese 19 9 1 9 +6 28
9 Torino 20 6 10 4 +1 28
10 Atalanta 19 7 6 6 +4 27
11 Milan 19 7 4 8 -3 25
12 Bologna 20 7 3 10 -7 24
13 Chievo 20 5 7 8 -12 22
14 Sassuolo 19 6 3 10 -16 21
15 Cagliari 19 6 2 11 -12 20
16 Genoa 19 4 6 9 -7 18
17 Spal 19 3 6 10 -14 15
18 Crotone 19 4 3 12 -24 15
19 Verona 19 3 4 12 -21 13
20 Benevento 19 1 1 17 -31 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Napoli Verona
34′
🟨 Daniel Bessa
Half-time 0–0
47′
🟨 Rômulo
58′
🔁 G. Pazzini
↦ M. Kean
1–0 K. Koulibaly
Mário Rui
65′
67′
🟨 Martín Cáceres
P. Zieliński 🔁
↦ M. Hamšík
77′
77′
🔁 S. Calvano
↦ Daniel Bessa
2–0 José Callejón
L. Insigne
78′
82′
🔁 G. Felicioli
↦ D. Verde
83′
🟨 Alex Ferrari
N. Maksimović 🔁
↦ Albiol
85′
M. Rog 🔁
↦ L. Insigne
87′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Napoli

4-3-3
25 Pepe Reina G
33 Albiol D
6 Mário Rui D
26 K. Koulibaly D
23 E. Hysaj D
17 M. Hamšík M
5 Allan M
8 Jorginho M
14 D. Mertens F
7 José Callejón F
24 L. Insigne F
Bench (12)
20 P. Zieliński
19 N. Maksimović
30 M. Rog
1 Rafael
11 C. Maggio
15 E. Giaccherini
18 Leandrinho
21 V. Chiricheș
22 L. Sepe
37 A. Ounas
42 A. Diawara
62 L. Tonelli

Coach: M. Sarri

Verona

4-4-1-1
1 Nicolas G
26 M. Cáceres D
75 T. Heurtaux D
12 A. Caracciolo D
28 A. Ferrari D
93 M. Fares D
2 Rômulo M
77 Marcel Büchel M
24 Daniel Bessa M
7 D. Verde F
9 M. Kean F
Bench (12)
11 G. Pazzini
23 S. Calvano
97 G. Felicioli
5 B. Zuculini
8 M. Fossati
14 F. Zuculini
17 M. Silvestri
21 Lee Seung-Woo
27 M. Valoti
37 E. Bearzotti
40 F. Coppola
69 S. Souprayen

Coach: F. Pecchia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Rosario Abisso · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.