Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Genoa
Sassuolo
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Napoli
|
19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | +29 | 48 |
| 2 |
Juventus
|
19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | +33 | 47 |
| 3 |
Inter
|
20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | +20 | 42 |
| 4 |
Roma
|
18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | +17 | 39 |
| 5 |
Lazio
|
18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | +21 | 37 |
| 6 |
Sampdoria
|
18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | +8 | 30 |
| 7 |
Fiorentina
|
20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | +8 | 28 |
| 8 |
Udinese
|
19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | +6 | 28 |
| 9 |
Torino
|
20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | +1 | 28 |
| 10 |
Atalanta
|
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | +4 | 27 |
| 11 |
Milan
|
19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | -3 | 25 |
| 12 |
Bologna
|
20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 24 |
| 13 |
Chievo
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | -12 | 22 |
| 14 |
Sassuolo
|
19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | -16 | 21 |
| 15 |
Cagliari
|
19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | -12 | 20 |
| 16 |
Genoa
|
19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | -7 | 18 |
| 17 |
Spal
|
19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -14 | 15 |
| 18 |
Crotone
|
19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -24 | 15 |
| 19 |
Verona
|
19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | -21 | 13 |
| 20 |
Benevento
|
19 | 1 | 1 | 17 | -31 | 4 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Perin
G
Coach: D. Ballardini
E. Goldaniga
D
M. Politano
F
D. Berardi
F
Coach: G. Iachini
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Torino
Genoa
Genoa
Benevento
Fiorentina
Genoa
Genoa
Atalanta
Verona
Genoa
Piero Giacomelli · 68 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.