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Serie A
Referee: Piero Giacomelli
Genoa
S T U S U
1–0
Full-time
Sassuolo
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Sassuolo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,2
2,0
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
This season — Serie A · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 27%
21%
32%
Points per game
0,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
26%
42%
Both score Ø 37%
37%
37%
Average goals
1,9
2,2
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
7 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 5
4 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genoa 16. · Sassuolo 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 19 15 3 1 +29 48
2 Juventus 19 15 2 2 +33 47
3 Inter 20 12 6 2 +20 42
4 Roma 18 12 3 3 +17 39
5 Lazio 18 11 4 3 +21 37
6 Sampdoria 18 9 3 6 +8 30
7 Fiorentina 20 7 7 6 +8 28
8 Udinese 19 9 1 9 +6 28
9 Torino 20 6 10 4 +1 28
10 Atalanta 19 7 6 6 +4 27
11 Milan 19 7 4 8 -3 25
12 Bologna 20 7 3 10 -7 24
13 Chievo 20 5 7 8 -12 22
14 Sassuolo 19 6 3 10 -16 21
15 Cagliari 19 6 2 11 -12 20
16 Genoa 19 4 6 9 -7 18
17 Spal 19 3 6 10 -14 15
18 Crotone 19 4 3 12 -24 15
19 Verona 19 3 4 12 -21 13
20 Benevento 19 1 1 17 -31 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genoa Sassuolo
Luca Rigoni 🟨
29′
Half-time 0–0
A. Galabinov 🔁
↦ G. Pandev
56′
65′
🔁 A. Matri
↦ D. Falcinelli
68′
🟨 Simone Missiroli
Ervin Zukanović 🟨
70′
D. Lazović 🔁
↦ P. Brlek
76′
Andrej Gălăbinov 🟨
77′
1–0 A. Galabinov
D. Biraschi
80′
82′
🔁 A. Ragusa
↦ A. Duncan
S. Omeonga 🔁
↦ G. Lapadula
84′
89′
🔁 L. Mazzitelli
↦ S. Missiroli
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Genoa

3-5-1-1
1 M. Perin G
2 N. Spolli D
13 L. Rossettini D
87 E. Zukanović D
14 D. Biraschi D
30 L. Rigoni M
8 A. Bertolacci M
21 P. Brlek M
93 D. Laxalt M
19 G. Pandev F
10 G. Lapadula F
Bench (11)
16 A. Galabinov
22 D. Lazović
40 S. Omeonga
3 S. Gentiletti
4 I. Cofie
11 A. Taarabt
23 E. Lamanna
27 F. Ricci
38 L. Zima
49 G. Rossi
64 P. Pellegri

Coach: D. Ballardini

Sassuolo

4-3-3
47 A. Consigli G
13 F. Peluso D
15 F. Acerbi D
24 E. Goldaniga D
21 Pol Lirola D
7 S. Missiroli M
4 F. Magnanelli M
32 A. Duncan M
11 D. Falcinelli F
16 M. Politano F
25 D. Berardi F
Bench (12)
10 A. Matri
90 A. Ragusa
6 L. Mazzitelli
14 G. Scamacca
22 D. Frattesi
23 M. Gazzola
26 Rogério
29 F. Cassata
39 C. Dell'Orco
70 L. Marson
77 G. Pegolo
98 C. Adjapong

Coach: G. Iachini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Piero Giacomelli · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.