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La Liga
Referee: Jose Luis Munuera Montero
Ath Madrid
S S S S T
2–0
Full-time
Getafe
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Getafe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
1,8
1,7
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,7
This season — La Liga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 47%
59%
35%
Points per game
2,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
29%
47%
Both score Ø 44%
35%
53%
Average goals
1,9
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
0,5
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
10 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 0
3 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 16
6 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Madrid 2. · Getafe 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 17 14 3 0 +38 45
2 Ath Madrid 17 10 6 1 +17 36
3 Valencia 17 10 4 3 +19 34
4 Real Madrid 16 9 4 3 +16 31
5 Sevilla 17 9 2 6 -2 29
6 Villarreal 17 8 3 6 +4 27
7 Eibar 17 7 3 7 -7 24
8 Getafe 17 6 5 6 +6 23
9 Sociedad 17 6 5 6 +2 23
10 Girona 17 6 5 6 -5 23
11 Celta 17 6 3 8 +5 21
12 Ath Bilbao 17 5 6 6 -1 21
13 Leganes 16 6 3 7 -2 21
14 Betis 17 6 3 8 -6 21
15 Espanol 17 5 5 7 -7 20
16 Levante 17 3 9 5 -7 18
17 Alaves 17 5 0 12 -12 15
18 La Coruna 17 4 3 10 -15 15
19 Malaga 17 3 2 12 -18 11
20 Las Palmas 17 3 2 12 -25 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Madrid Getafe
Šime Vrsaljko 🟨
14′
1–0 Á. Correa
A. Griezmann
18′
Lucas Hernández 🟨
24′
29′
🟨 Francisco Portillo
Gabi 🟨
30′
Antoine Griezmann 🟨
44′
Stefan Savić 🟨
45′
45′
🟨 Juan Cala
Half-time 1–0
T. Partey 🔁
↦ Y. Carrasco
60′
Diego Costa 🟨
62′
64′
🔁 Álvaro Jiménez
↦ Portillo
64′
🔁 G. Shibasaki
↦ Sergio Mora
Diego Costa 🟨
68′
Diego Costa 🟥
68′
2–0 Diego Costa
Š. Vrsaljko
68′
74′
🟨 Djené
74′
🔁 Dani Pacheco
↦ Ángel
J. Giménez 🔁
↦ Á. Correa
84′
Fernando Torres 🔁
↦ Koke
88′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
13 J. Oblak G
2 D. Godín D
16 Š. Vrsaljko D
15 S. Savić D
19 L. Hernández D
14 Gabi M
6 Koke M
10 Y. Carrasco M
18 Diego Costa F
7 A. Griezmann F
11 Á. Correa M
Bench (7)
5 T. Partey
24 J. Giménez
9 Fernando Torres
1 Moyà
20 Juanfran
21 K. Gameiro
23 Vitolo

Coach: D. Simeone

Getafe

4-4-2
1 E. Martínez G
3 Antunes D
22 D. Suárez D
16 Juan Cala D
2 D. Dakonam D
14 Sergio Mora M
12 Portillo M
18 M. Arambarri M
9 Ángel
19 Jorge Molina F
23 A. Ndiaye M
Bench (7)
7 Álvaro Jiménez
10 G. Shibasaki
20 Dani Pacheco
13 Guaita
4 Bruno González
15 Molinero
21 F. Fajr

Coach: José Bordalás

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jose Luis Munuera Montero · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.