La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sevilla
Betis
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | +38 | 45 |
| 2 |
Ath Madrid
|
18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | +19 | 39 |
| 3 |
Valencia
|
18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | +20 | 37 |
| 4 |
Real Madrid
|
16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | +16 | 31 |
| 5 |
Sevilla
|
17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 29 |
| 6 |
Villarreal
|
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | +4 | 27 |
| 7 |
Eibar
|
18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 27 |
| 8 |
Getafe
|
18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | +4 | 23 |
| 9 |
Sociedad
|
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | +2 | 23 |
| 10 |
Girona
|
18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -6 | 23 |
| 11 |
Celta
|
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | +5 | 21 |
| 12 |
Ath Bilbao
|
17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | -1 | 21 |
| 13 |
Leganes
|
16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 21 |
| 14 |
Betis
|
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | -6 | 21 |
| 15 |
Espanol
|
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | -7 | 20 |
| 16 |
Levante
|
17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | -7 | 18 |
| 17 |
Alaves
|
17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | -12 | 15 |
| 18 |
La Coruna
|
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -15 | 15 |
| 19 |
Malaga
|
17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | -18 | 11 |
| 20 |
Las Palmas
|
18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -26 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
C. Lenglet
D
S. N'Zonzi
M
Coach: V. Montella
A. Mandi
D
Fabián Ruiz
M
Coach: Quique Setién
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sociedad
Sevilla
Sevilla
Levante
Real Madrid
Sevilla
Sevilla
La Coruna
Villarreal
Sevilla
Jesus Gil Manzano · 111 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.