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La Liga
Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano
Sevilla
S S T U T
3–5
Full-time
Betis
U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,2
This season — La Liga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 44%
53%
35%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
47%
53%
Both score Ø 38%
35%
41%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

49% Possession 51%
14 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
12 Corners 0
3 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sevilla 5. · Betis 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 17 14 3 0 +38 45
2 Ath Madrid 18 11 6 1 +19 39
3 Valencia 18 11 4 3 +20 37
4 Real Madrid 16 9 4 3 +16 31
5 Sevilla 17 9 2 6 -2 29
6 Villarreal 17 8 3 6 +4 27
7 Eibar 18 8 3 7 -6 27
8 Getafe 18 6 5 7 +4 23
9 Sociedad 17 6 5 6 +2 23
10 Girona 18 6 5 7 -6 23
11 Celta 17 6 3 8 +5 21
12 Ath Bilbao 17 5 6 6 -1 21
13 Leganes 16 6 3 7 -2 21
14 Betis 17 6 3 8 -6 21
15 Espanol 17 5 5 7 -7 20
16 Levante 17 3 9 5 -7 18
17 Alaves 17 5 0 12 -12 15
18 La Coruna 17 4 3 10 -15 15
19 Malaga 17 3 2 12 -18 11
20 Las Palmas 18 3 2 13 -26 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sevilla Betis
1′
Fabián Ruiz 0–1
Joaquín
1–1 W. Ben Yedder
Sergio Escudero
13′
16′
🔁 Francis Guerrero
↦ Barragán
21′
Z. Feddal 1–2
Joaquín
Éver Banega 🟨
25′
33′
🟨 Francis Guerrero
2–2 S. Kjær
F. Vázquez
39′
Half-time 2–2
J. Correa 🔁
↦ F. Vázquez
57′
60′
🔁 Cristian Tello
↦ Joaquín
63′
R. Durmisi 2–3
R. Boudebouz
65′
Sergio León 2–4
Cristian Tello
66′
🟨 Zouhair Feddal
3–4 C. Lenglet
Nolito
67′
68′
🟨 Aïssa Mandi
L. Muriel 🔁
↦ Nolito
69′
Sergio Escudero 🟨
73′
76′
🔁 Víctor Camarasa
↦ Fabián Ruiz
Clément Lenglet 🟨
80′
80′
🟨 Sergio León
Pablo Sarabia 🔁
↦ S. Corchia
85′
86′
🟨 Cristian Tello
90′
🟨 Antonio Adán
95′
Cristian Tello 3–5
Full-time 3–5

Line-ups

Sevilla

4-3-3
1 Sergio Rico G
4 S. Kjær D
18 Sergio Escudero D
2 S. Corchia D
5 C. Lenglet D
16 Jesús Navas M
10 É. Banega M
15 S. N'Zonzi M
22 F. Vázquez M
24 Nolito F
9 W. Ben Yedder F
Bench (7)
11 J. Correa
20 L. Muriel
17 Pablo Sarabia
7 M. Krohn-Dehli
12 J. Geis
13 David Soria
25 G. Mercado

Coach: V. Montella

Betis

4-1-4-1
13 Adán G
19 Barragán M
23 A. Mandi D
4 Z. Feddal D
14 R. Durmisi D
17 Joaquín M
18 A. Guardado M
3 Javi García M
10 R. Boudebouz M
6 Fabián Ruiz M
7 Sergio León F
Bench (7)
27 Francis Guerrero
20 Cristian Tello
8 Víctor Camarasa
1 Dani Giménez
21 A. Toșca
24 Rubén Castro
29 J. Narváez

Coach: Quique Setién

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jesus Gil Manzano · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.