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Serie A
Referee: Riccardo Pinzani
Juventus
U T S S U
2–1
Full-time
Verona
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Verona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,7
0,5
Conceded
0,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,8
This season — Serie A · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 49%
78%
19%
Points per game
2,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
54%
62%
Both score Ø 37%
38%
35%
Average goals
2,9
2,8
Scored
2,3
0,8
Conceded
0,6
2,1
Goal diff per game
+1,6
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%
26 Shots 9
13 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 11
11 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Juventus 1. · Verona 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 37 29 5 3 +61 92
2 Napoli 37 27 7 3 +47 88
3 Roma 37 22 8 7 +32 74
4 Lazio 37 21 9 7 +41 72
5 Inter 37 19 12 6 +35 69
6 Milan 37 17 10 10 +10 61
7 Atalanta 37 16 12 9 +19 60
8 Fiorentina 37 16 9 12 +12 57
9 Sampdoria 37 16 6 15 -2 54
10 Torino 37 12 15 10 +7 51
11 Sassuolo 37 11 10 16 -29 43
12 Genoa 37 11 8 18 -9 41
13 Bologna 37 11 6 20 -11 39
14 Udinese 37 11 4 22 -16 37
15 Chievo 37 9 10 18 -24 37
16 Cagliari 37 10 6 21 -29 36
17 Spal 37 7 14 16 -22 35
18 Crotone 37 9 8 20 -25 35
19 Verona 37 7 4 26 -47 25
20 Benevento 37 6 3 28 -50 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Juventus Verona
R. Bentancur 🔁
↦ S. Sturaro
44′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 E. Bearzotti
↦ A. Caracciolo
1–0 D. Rugani
49′
51′
🟨 Mohamed Fares
2–0 M. Pjanić
52′
58′
🟨 Marco Fossati
62′
🔁 F. Zuculini
↦ R. Aarons
C. Pinsoglio 🔁
↦ G. Buffon
63′
G. Higuaín 🔁
↦ Douglas Costa
66′
76′
A. Cerci 2–1
Rômulo
81′
🔁 B. Petković
↦ Ryder Matos
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Juventus

4-3-3
1 G. Buffon
15 A. Barzagli D
26 S. Lichtsteiner D
12 Alex Sandro D
24 D. Rugani D
8 C. Marchisio M
5 M. Pjanić M
11 Douglas Costa M
27 S. Sturaro M
17 M. Mandžukić F
10 P. Dybala F
Bench (12)
30 R. Bentancur
16 C. Pinsoglio
9 G. Higuaín
2 M. De Sciglio
3 G. Chiellini
4 M. Benatia
6 S. Khedira
7 Juan Cuadrado
14 B. Matuidi
21 B. Höwedes
22 K. Asamoah
23 W. Szczęsny

Coach: M. Allegri

Verona

4-4-2
1 Nicolas G
69 S. Souprayen D
12 A. Caracciolo D
28 A. Ferrari D
93 M. Fares D
2 Rômulo M
8 M. Fossati M
16 R. Aarons M
72 A. Danzi M
10 A. Cerci F
30 Ryder Matos F
Bench (7)
37 E. Bearzotti
14 F. Zuculini
70 B. Petković
7 D. Verde
17 M. Silvestri
40 F. Coppola
97 G. Felicioli

Coach: F. Pecchia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.