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La Liga

Referee: Carlos Del Cerro Grande

Sevilla

U T S S U

1–0

Full-time

Alaves

T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,3

This season — La Liga · 37/37 matches

Win Ø 42%

43%

41%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

54%

49%

Both score Ø 42%

46%

38%

Average goals

2,9

2,4

Scored

1,3

1,1

Conceded

1,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%

20 Shots 10

8 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 7

8 Corners 3

6 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sevilla 7. · Alaves 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	37	27	9	1	+69	90
2	Ath Madrid	37	23	9	5	+36	78
3	Real Madrid	37	22	9	6	+50	75
4	Valencia	37	21	7	9	+26	70
5	Villarreal	37	18	6	13	+7	60
6	Betis	38	18	6	14	-1	60
7	Sevilla	37	16	7	14	-10	55
8	Getafe	37	14	10	13	+8	52
9	Eibar	37	14	8	15	-6	50
10	Sociedad	37	14	7	16	+8	49
11	Celta	38	13	10	15	-1	49
12	Girona	37	13	9	15	-10	48
13	Alaves	37	15	2	20	-9	47
14	Espanol	37	11	13	13	-7	46
15	Levante	38	11	13	14	-14	46
16	Ath Bilbao	37	10	13	14	-7	43
17	Leganes	38	12	7	19	-17	43
18	La Coruna	37	6	11	20	-37	29
19	Las Palmas	37	5	7	25	-49	22
20	Malaga	37	5	5	27	-36	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	18	15	3	0	+41	48
2	Ath Madrid	18	12	5	1	+22	41
3	Real Madrid	19	12	4	3	+34	40
4	Valencia	18	12	3	3	+19	39
5	Villarreal	18	11	2	5	+13	35
6	Sevilla	18	10	5	3	+8	35
7	Betis	19	10	4	5	+4	34
8	Sociedad	19	10	3	6	+18	33
9	Celta	19	8	8	3	+11	32
10	Getafe	19	9	4	6	+13	31
11	Leganes	19	9	4	6	+0	31
12	Espanol	19	8	6	5	+4	30
13	Eibar	19	8	4	7	+7	28
14	Alaves	19	9	1	9	-2	28
15	Girona	19	8	3	8	+4	27
16	Levante	19	7	6	6	-3	27
17	Ath Bilbao	18	6	8	4	+4	26
18	La Coruna	19	4	6	9	-11	18
19	Malaga	18	4	3	11	-12	15
20	Las Palmas	18	4	2	12	-22	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	19	12	6	1	+28	42
2	Ath Madrid	19	11	4	4	+14	37
3	Real Madrid	18	10	5	3	+16	35
4	Valencia	19	9	4	6	+7	31
5	Betis	19	8	2	9	-5	26
6	Villarreal	19	7	4	8	-6	25
7	Eibar	18	6	4	8	-13	22
8	Getafe	18	5	6	7	-5	21
9	Girona	18	5	6	7	-14	21
10	Sevilla	19	6	2	11	-18	20
11	Alaves	18	6	1	11	-7	19
12	Levante	19	4	7	8	-11	19
13	Ath Bilbao	19	4	5	10	-11	17
14	Celta	19	5	2	12	-12	17
15	Sociedad	18	4	4	10	-10	16
16	Espanol	18	3	7	8	-11	16
17	Leganes	19	3	3	13	-17	12
18	La Coruna	18	2	5	11	-26	11
19	Las Palmas	19	1	5	13	-27	8
20	Malaga	19	1	2	16	-24	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.