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Eliteserien
Referee: C Moen
Jerv
T U U S T
1–0
Full-time
Kristiansund
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jerv Kristiansund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,7
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
2,2
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
This season — Eliteserien · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
15 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Jerv 12. · Kristiansund 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Viking 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Lillestrom 2 1 1 0 +4 4
4 Bodo/Glimt 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Rosenborg 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Sandefjord 2 1 0 1 +1 3
7 Odd 2 1 0 1 +1 3
8 Sarpsborg 08 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 Valerenga 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Aalesund 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Tromso 2 1 0 1 -1 3
12 Jerv 2 1 0 1 -3 3
13 Ham-Kam 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Kristiansund 2 0 0 2 -2 0
15 Haugesund 2 0 0 2 -3 0
16 Stromsgodset 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Jerv Kristiansund
1–0 A. Şimşir
E. Hustad
29′
Half-time 1–0
66′
🔁 I. Annan
↦ M. Williamsen
66′
🔁 A. Muçolli
↦ L. Kalludra
66′
🔁 S. Kartum
↦ M. Mawa
T. Ness 🔁
↦ M. Wichmann
67′
70′
🟨 Isaac Annan
R. Antwi 🔁
↦ A. Şimşir
71′
Thomas Ness 🟨
74′
79′
🔁 B. Willumsson
↦ J. Isaksen
K. Novak 🔁
↦ T. Wichne
85′
E. Sandberg 🔁
↦ Willis Furtado
86′
A. Diallo 🔁
↦ E. Hustad
86′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Jerv

5-4-1
20 Ø. Øvretveit G
3 D. Arrocha D
16 J. Norheim D
2 T. Wichne D
27 M. Haarup D
14 O. Kolskogen D
6 M. Wichmann M
15 E. Brenden M
7 Willis Furtado M
9 E. Hustad F
58 A. Şimşir M
Bench (8)
23 T. Ness
77 R. Antwi
4 K. Novak
5 E. Sandberg
17 A. Diallo
1 A. Wichne
11 F. Schröter
8 M. Ugland

Coach: A. Sandstø

Kristiansund

4-2-3-1
1 S. McDermott G
6 A. Hopmark D
19 A. Coly D
2 S. Nilsen D
26 M. Williamsen D
10 L. Kalludra M
7 T. Gjertsen M
21 A. Diop M
14 J. Isaksen M
13 B. Bye M
11 M. Mawa F
Bench (7)
25 I. Annan
9 A. Muçolli
8 S. Kartum
17 B. Willumsson
24 D. Agbo
18 S. Jarl
30 M. Mbaye

Coach: C. Michelsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Moen · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.