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Super League
Referee: S Wolfensberger
Lausanne
T U T S U
4–1
Full-time
Lugano
T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lausanne Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — Super League · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 29%
10%
48%
Points per game
0,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
55%
48%
Both score Ø 57%
66%
48%
Average goals
3,1
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
2,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

47% Possession 53%
14 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 7
2 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lausanne 10. · Lugano 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zurich 30 20 6 4 +27 66
2 Basel 29 13 13 3 +27 52
3 Young Boys 30 12 11 7 +23 47
4 Lugano 29 14 4 11 +0 46
5 St. Gallen 30 11 8 11 +1 41
6 Servette 30 12 5 13 -8 41
7 Sion 29 9 6 14 -16 33
8 Grasshoppers 30 7 11 12 -3 32
9 Luzern 30 5 12 13 -19 27
10 Lausanne 29 3 8 18 -32 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lausanne Lugano
0–1 A. Saipi
own goal
23′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 Z. Amdouni
46′
57′
🔁 Yuri
↦ M. Valenzuela
57′
🔁 M. Amoura
↦ I. Aliseda
2–1 B. Ouattara
60′
Sofiane Alakouch 🟨
63′
M. Spielmann 🔁
↦ B. Ouattara
68′
Maxime Poundjé 🟨
70′
H. Mahou 🔁
↦ S. Alakouch
72′
72′
🔁 A. Durrer
↦ O. Custodio
72′
🔁 N. Muci
↦ Ž. Celar
73′
M. Poundjé 3–1
own goal
K. Sow 🔁
↦ S. Kukuruzović
81′
F. Chafik 🔁
↦ T. Coyle
81′
81′
🔁 H. Mahmoud
↦ M. Haile-Selassie
82′
🟨 Kevin Rüegg
Hicham Mahou 🟨
87′
4–1 Z. Amdouni
90′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Lausanne

3-4-1-2
1 T. Castella G
29 M. Poundjé D
23 S. Alakouch M
24 A. Zohouri D
51 A. Husic D
7 S. Kukuruzović M
30 A. Trébel M
80 A. Sanches F
11 B. Ouattara F
98 T. Coyle M
9 Z. Amdouni F
Bench (9)
33 M. Spielmann
20 H. Mahou
71 K. Sow
26 F. Chafik
76 M. Sartoretti
73 Diogo Mendes
72 T. Díaz
13 N. Zoukit
91 M. Mastil

Coach: A. Casanova

Lugano

3-4-2-1
26 A. Saipi G
30 F. Daprelà D
16 N. Lavanchy M
4 K. Hajrizi D
17 M. Valenzuela M
14 J. Sabbatini M
20 O. Custodio D
27 K. Rüegg M
18 M. Haile-Selassie F
19 Ž. Celar F
31 I. Aliseda F
Bench (9)
21 Yuri
6 M. Amoura
8 A. Durrer
99 N. Muci
29 H. Mahmoud
23 L. Srdic
58 S. Osigwe
32 L. Molino
33 A. Casciato

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Wolfensberger · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.