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Championship
Referee: D Whitestone
Millwall
T U T S U
2–1
Full-time
Hull
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Millwall Hull
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
This season — Championship · 43/44 matches
Win Ø 35%
37%
32%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
35%
30%
Both score Ø 42%
53%
30%
Average goals
2,1
2,0
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
17 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Millwall 13. · Hull 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fulham 43 27 8 8 +60 89
2 Bournemouth 42 21 13 8 +27 76
3 Huddersfield 42 20 13 9 +16 73
4 Luton 42 20 11 11 +18 71
5 Sheffield United 42 20 9 13 +17 69
6 Middlesbrough 44 20 9 15 +14 69
7 Coventry 44 19 11 14 +11 68
8 Blackburn 44 18 12 14 +12 66
9 West Brom 44 18 12 14 +10 66
10 Nott'm Forest 38 19 8 11 +24 65
11 Swansea 43 18 10 15 -1 64
12 Preston 44 16 16 12 -1 64
13 Millwall 43 16 14 13 +4 62
14 QPR 44 17 9 18 -1 60
15 Stoke 44 16 11 17 +7 59
16 Blackpool 42 15 11 16 -2 56
17 Derby 44 14 13 17 -6 55
18 Cardiff 43 15 8 20 -11 53
19 Bristol City 44 14 10 20 -19 52
20 Hull 44 14 8 22 -8 50
21 Reading 44 14 8 22 -26 50
22 Birmingham 44 11 13 20 -22 46
23 Peterboro 43 8 10 25 -45 34
24 Barnsley 43 6 13 24 -31 31
25 Peterborough 42 7 10 25 -47 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Millwall Hull
Daniel Ballard 🟨
16′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 S. Malone
51′
2–0 T. Bradshaw
B. Afobe
55′
S. Hutchinson 🔁
↦ S. Malone
63′
72′
🔁 T. Eaves
↦ R. Slater
72′
🔁 M. Forss
↦ A. Sayyadmanesh
O. Burke 🔁
↦ T. Burey
79′
86′
🔁 L. Coyle
↦ C. Elder
Bartosz Białkowski 🟨
87′
87′
T. Eaves 2–1
R. Leonard 🔁
↦ B. Afobe
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Millwall

3-4-2-1
33 B. Bialkowski G
11 S. Malone M
3 M. Wallace D
5 J. Cooper D
26 D. Ballard D
2 D. McNamara M
17 G. Saville M
24 B. Mitchell M
9 T. Bradshaw F
23 B. Afobe F
32 T. Burey F
Bench (7)
4 S. Hutchinson
10 O. Burke
18 R. Leonard
28 G. Evans
1 G. Long
6 M. Kieftenbeld
14 S. Ojo

Coach: G. Rowett

Hull

3-4-2-1
13 N. Baxter G
3 C. Elder M
5 A. Jones D
17 S. McLoughlin D
4 J. Greaves D
6 R. Smallwood M
10 G. Honeyman F
16 R. Longman M
27 R. Slater M
20 A. Sayyadmanesh F
11 K. Lewis-Potter F
Bench (7)
9 T. Eaves
44 M. Forss
2 L. Coyle
1 M. Ingram
8 G. Docherty
23 T. Huddlestone
24 D. Bernard

Coach: S. Arveladze

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,84
U
3,41
B
4,67
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,32
U2,5
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Whitestone · 166 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.