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Serie A
Referee: Gianluca Rocchi
Sassuolo
S S T S U
5–3
Full-time
Genoa
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Genoa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Serie A · 2/1 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–1

43% Possession 57%
10 Shots 21
7 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 10
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 10
3 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sassuolo 7. · Genoa 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 3 3 0 0 +4 9
2 Fiorentina 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Napoli 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Spal 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Atalanta 2 1 1 0 +4 4
6 Inter 3 1 1 1 +2 4
7 Sassuolo 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Roma 3 1 1 1 +0 4
9 Udinese 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Empoli 2 1 0 1 +1 3
11 Genoa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Milan 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Torino 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Parma 3 0 1 2 -2 1
15 Cagliari 2 0 1 1 -2 1
16 Frosinone 2 0 1 1 -4 1
17 Bologna 3 0 1 2 -4 1
18 Sampdoria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Lazio 2 0 0 2 -3 0
20 Chievo 2 0 0 2 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sassuolo Genoa
27′
K. Piątek 0–1
29′
🟨 Krzysztof Piątek
Rogério 🟨
31′
Giangiacomo Magnani 🟨
33′
1–1 K. Boateng
K. Babacar
34′
2–1 Pol Lirola
38′
3–1 K. Babacar
41′
Half-time 3–2
3–2 N. Spolli
own goal
46′
46′
🔁 A. Favilli
↦ D. Lazović
52′
🟨 Domenico Criscito
M. Bourabia 🔁
↦ D. Berardi
57′
4–2 G. Ferrari
M. Locatelli
62′
63′
🔁 Daniel Bessa
↦ N. Spolli
67′
🔁 N. Dalmonte
↦ C. Kouamé
70′
G. Pandev 4–3
A. Favilli
J. Boga 🔁
↦ K. Babacar
78′
83′
K. Piątek 4–4
A. Favilli
Alfred Duncan 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Daniel Bessa
C. Dell'Orco 🔁
↦ M. Lemos
90′
Full-time 4–4

Line-ups

Sassuolo

3-4-3
47 A. Consigli G
31 G. Ferrari D
23 G. Magnani D
5 M. Lemos D
21 Pol Lirola D
6 Rogério M
27 K. Boateng M
32 A. Duncan M
73 M. Locatelli M
30 K. Babacar F
25 D. Berardi F
Bench (12)
68 M. Bourabia
20 J. Boga
39 C. Dell'Orco
9 F. Đuričić
10 A. Matri
12 S. Sensi
17 L. Sernicola
19 J. Odgaard
34 F. Di Francesco
79 G. Pegolo
98 C. Adjapong
99 E. Brignola

Coach: R. De Zerbi

Genoa

3-4-1-2
1 F. Marchetti G
2 N. Spolli D
4 D. Criscito D
87 E. Zukanović D
14 D. Biraschi D
22 D. Lazović M
8 Rômulo M
88 O. Hiljemark M
19 G. Pandev F
9 K. Piątek F
11 C. Kouamé F
Bench (12)
39 A. Favilli
24 Daniel Bessa
26 N. Dalmonte
3 K. Günter
5 L. López
10 G. Lapadula
15 L. Mazzitelli
18 E. Rolón
32 Pedro Pereira
33 I. Lakićević
45 Iuri Medeiros
97 I. Radu

Coach: D. Ballardini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Gianluca Rocchi · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,40 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.