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Serie A
Referee: Piero Giacomelli
Bologna
U T T T T
0–1
Full-time
Spal
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Spal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%
13 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 0
4 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Mar -18 Spal – Bologna 1–0 15. Oct -17 Bologna – Spal 2–1

Match report

Bologna Spal
Erick Pulgar 🟨
20′
45′
🟨 Mohamed Fares
Half-time 0–0
Á. Nagy 🔁
↦ E. Pulgar
56′
Federico Mattiello 🟨
64′
Ádám Nagy 🟨
68′
69′
🔁 Everton Luiz
↦ S. Missiroli
71′
⚽ J. Kurtič 0–1
Felipe
D. Falcinelli 🔁
↦ G. González
72′
R. Orsolini 🔁
↦ A. Poli
77′
81′
🟨 Felipe
83′
🔁 M. Valdifiori
↦ J. Kurtič
Ádám Nagy 🟨
89′
Ádám Nagy 🟥
89′
89′
🔁 L. Šimić
↦ M. Lazzari
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Bologna

3-5-2
28 Ł. Skorupski G
23 Danilo D
3 G. González D
18 F. Helander D
35 M. Dijks D
14 F. Mattiello M
31 B. Džemaili M
16 A. Poli M
5 E. Pulgar M
24 R. Palacio F
9 F. Santander F
Bench (12)
8 Á. Nagy
91 D. Falcinelli
7 R. Orsolini
1 Angelo da Costa
4 S. De Maio
6 N. Paz
11 L. Krejčí
15 I. M'baye
29 A. Santurro
30 O. Okwonkwo
32 M. Svanberg
33 A. Calabresi

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Spal

3-5-2
1 A. Gomis G
27 Felipe D
4 T. Cionek D
23 F. Vicari D
93 M. Fares D
6 S. Missiroli M
28 P. Schiattarella M
19 J. Kurtič M
29 M. Lazzari M
7 M. Antenucci F
37 A. Petagna F
Bench (12)
25 Everton Luiz
16 M. Valdifiori
5 L. Šimić
3 J. Djourou
8 M. Valoti
11 G. Moncini
22 D. Thiam
24 L. Dickmann
32 V. Savić
33 F. Costa
43 A. Paloschi
97 M. Vitale

Coach: L. Semplici

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Piero Giacomelli · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.